La Liga 2024-2025: Las Palmas vs Barcelona Prediction

Las Palmas

Home Team
2%
VS

Barcelona

Away Team
95%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 63%
Under 2.5: 37%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 24 16 3 5 65 25 40 51
2 Real Madrid 24 15 6 3 52 23 29 51
3 Ath Madrid 24 14 8 2 39 16 23 50
4 Ath Bilbao 24 12 9 3 37 21 16 45
5 Villarreal 24 11 8 5 47 35 12 41
6 Vallecano 24 9 8 7 27 25 2 35
7 Mallorca 24 10 4 10 23 30 -7 34
8 Betis 24 8 8 8 30 31 -1 32
9 Osasuna 24 7 11 6 29 33 -4 32
10 Girona 24 9 4 11 32 35 -3 31
11 Sociedad 24 9 4 11 20 23 -3 31
12 Sevilla 24 8 7 9 29 34 -5 31
13 Getafe 24 7 9 8 20 18 2 30
14 Celta 24 8 5 11 35 38 -3 29
15 Espanol 24 6 6 12 23 36 -13 24
16 Leganes 24 5 9 10 22 35 -13 24
17 Las Palmas 24 6 5 13 29 41 -12 23
18 Valencia 24 5 8 11 25 38 -13 23
19 Alaves 24 5 7 12 28 38 -10 22
20 Valladolid 24 4 3 17 15 52 -37 15

Recent Trends

Las Palmas ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 4)

Barcelona ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 7 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.32
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.48
# Clean Sheets: 0

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.71
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Las Palmas and Barcelona, the prediction heavily favors Barcelona with a 95% probability of securing a victory. The likelihood of Las Palmas pulling off an upset stands at a mere 2%, while a draw is slightly more probable at 3%. The game is expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 63% probability. Barcelona currently sits at the top of La Liga, whereas Las Palmas is struggling near the relegation zone in 17th position.

Match Analysis

Las Palmas is heading into this match on the back of three consecutive losses. They have struggled defensively, conceding seven goals in these outings against Mallorca, Villarreal, and Girona. Their attacking efforts have been modest, with only one goal scored in each of these matches. The team's advanced metrics show an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game in the last five matches, highlighting their vulnerability at the back and their challenge in finding the net. Conversely, Barcelona has been in commanding form, winning their last three matches, including a dominant 4-1 victory against Sevilla. They have shown resilience defensively, keeping two clean sheets in their last five games. Offensively, they have been prolific, averaging 2.8 goals scored per match over the same period. Barcelona's expected goals metrics are equally impressive, indicating their sustained attacking prowess and ability to create scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's position at the top of the league and their recent form give them a significant edge over Las Palmas. Their ability to consistently score and maintain a solid defense is a key factor in their predicted victory. A crucial aspect to watch will be Barcelona's attacking combinations, which have been a standout element in their recent performances.