La Liga 2024-2025: Las Palmas vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Las Palmas

Home Team
8%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
84%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 33 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 53 26 27 63
4 Betis 31 15 12 4 49 25 24 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 34 38 -4 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 21 73 -52 16

Recent Trends

Las Palmas ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 1)

Ath Madrid ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.96
# Clean Sheets: 0

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Las Palmas and Atlético Madrid is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors, with an 84.0% probability of Atlético Madrid securing the win. Meanwhile, Las Palmas has a slim 8.0% chance of victory, matching the probability of a draw. Atlético Madrid is currently positioned 3rd in La Liga, while Las Palmas sits precariously in 18th place. Additionally, there's a 50.0% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals scored.

Match Analysis

Las Palmas comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of recent performances. They managed a 3-1 win against Getafe away from home, but their form remains inconsistent with a home loss to Sociedad and a draw with Celta. Their lack of defensive solidity is evident, having conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five outings and failing to keep a clean sheet. Offensively, Las Palmas averages 1.0 goals per game, slightly underperforming their expected goals of 1.372. Atlético Madrid, on the other hand, have shown resilience and a knack for securing results. They won 4-2 against Valladolid and edged past Sevilla 2-1, both encouraging results that underscore their attacking prowess. However, they were held to a 1-1 draw by Espanyol. Atlético's defense, while not unbreachable, has been more reliable, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. Their slight overperformance in goals scored compared to expected goals (1.6 vs. 1.438) indicates a clinical edge in front of goal.

Final Prediction

Atlético Madrid's position in the league and recent form give them a significant advantage over Las Palmas. Their ability to convert chances and manage games effectively makes them the favorites. A key element to watch in this match will be Atlético's offensive efficiency against a Las Palmas side that has struggled defensively. The visitors' superior league standing and consistent performances suggest they have the edge in this encounter.