La Liga 2024-2025: Girona vs Valencia Prediction

Girona

Home Team
65%
VS

Valencia

Away Team
17%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 31 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 12 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16

Recent Trends

Girona ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 3)

Valencia ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 0

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.86
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Girona is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Valencia, with a 65.0% probability favoring the home team. The likelihood of Valencia securing a win stands at 17.0%, while the probability of a draw is 19.0%. As both teams aim to climb the La Liga standings, Girona sits in 13th position, closely followed by Valencia in 16th. Additionally, the match is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability for such an outcome.

Match Analysis

Girona enters the match seeking to break a streak of two consecutive draws against Espanyol and Celta, followed by a loss to Real Madrid. Despite these mixed results, Girona has shown offensive capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their recent fixtures, although they have yet to record a clean sheet in their last five outings. Their expected goals metrics suggest a solid attacking presence, with 1.536 expected goals per match, indicating potential for goal-scoring opportunities against Valencia. Valencia, on the other hand, has experienced fluctuating fortunes in their recent matches. They secured a narrow victory against Valladolid, followed by a high-scoring draw with Osasuna, and suffered a heavy defeat to Atletico Madrid. Valencia's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game recently, which could be a concern against Girona's attack. However, their expected goals conceded is slightly lower at 1.856, hinting at potential for defensive improvement.

Final Prediction

Girona's home advantage and recent attacking performances give them the edge over a struggling Valencia side. The key factor to watch will be Girona’s ability to capitalize on Valencia's defensive vulnerabilities. As both teams fight to distance themselves from the relegation zone, this encounter promises to be a closely contested affair.