La Liga 2024-2025: Girona vs Celta Prediction

Girona

Home Team
37%
VS

Celta

Away Team
37%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 25 17 3 5 67 25 42 54
2 Real Madrid 25 16 6 3 54 23 31 54
3 Ath Madrid 25 15 8 2 42 16 26 53
4 Ath Bilbao 25 13 9 3 44 22 22 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Vallecano 25 9 8 8 27 26 1 35
7 Betis 25 9 8 8 32 32 0 35
8 Mallorca 25 10 5 10 24 31 -7 35
9 Sociedad 25 10 4 11 23 23 0 34
10 Celta 25 9 5 11 36 38 -2 32
11 Sevilla 25 8 8 9 30 35 -5 32
12 Osasuna 25 7 11 7 29 34 -5 32
13 Girona 25 9 4 12 32 37 -5 31
14 Getafe 25 7 9 9 21 20 1 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 25 5 9 11 22 38 -16 24
17 Las Palmas 25 6 5 14 29 43 -14 23
18 Valencia 25 5 8 12 25 41 -16 23
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 28 39 -11 22
20 Valladolid 25 4 3 18 16 59 -43 15

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.31
# Clean Sheets: 0

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.00
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Girona and Celta promises to be an evenly matched contest, with both teams having a 37.0% probability of securing a win. However, the prediction slightly favors the home team, Girona. Additionally, fans can expect an entertaining match with a 53.0% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals scored. Currently, Celta sits in the 10th position of La Liga with 32 points, while Girona trails closely behind in 13th place with 31 points.

Match Analysis

Girona is currently experiencing a rough patch, coming off a three-game losing streak. They suffered defeats against formidable opponents like Real Madrid and Ath Bilbao, as well as a narrow loss at home to Getafe. Despite their recent struggles, Girona's ability to create chances is highlighted by an average of 1.426 expected goals in their last five matches. However, their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in the same period. Celta, on the other hand, appears to be gaining momentum. They are unbeaten in their last three matches, securing victories against Osasuna and Betis, and earning a valuable point against Ath Madrid. Celta's defense has shown resilience, conceding fewer goals than Girona, with an average of 1.4 goals against in the last five matches. Furthermore, their expected goals conceded metric of 1.0 indicates a solid defensive structure that could prove pivotal in this encounter.

Final Prediction

Girona's recent form may give Celta a slight edge in this matchup, particularly with their better defensive metrics and recent unbeaten streak. A key factor to watch will be Celta's ability to capitalize on Girona's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own defensive solidity. Fans should keep an eye on how Girona's attack, which has been creating opportunities, fares against Celta's tough defense.