La Liga 2024-2025: Girona vs Alaves Prediction

Girona

Home Team
46%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
28%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 21 3 5 82 28 54 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 62 29 33 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 16 9 4 47 23 24 57
4 Ath Bilbao 29 14 11 4 46 24 22 53
5 Villarreal 28 13 8 7 51 39 12 47
6 Betis 29 13 8 8 40 36 4 47
7 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 33 31 2 40
8 Celta 29 11 7 11 42 42 0 40
9 Mallorca 29 11 7 11 28 35 -7 40
10 Sociedad 29 11 5 13 27 31 -4 38
11 Sevilla 29 9 9 11 33 39 -6 36
12 Getafe 29 9 9 11 26 25 1 36
13 Girona 29 9 7 13 37 45 -8 34
14 Osasuna 29 7 13 9 33 42 -9 34
15 Valencia 29 7 10 12 32 46 -14 31
16 Espanol 28 7 8 13 27 40 -13 29
17 Alaves 29 6 9 14 32 44 -12 27
18 Leganes 29 6 9 14 28 46 -18 27
19 Las Palmas 29 6 8 15 33 48 -15 26
20 Valladolid 29 4 4 21 19 65 -46 16

Recent Trends

Girona ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)

Alaves ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 0

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Girona and Alaves is poised to be an intriguing encounter. Girona is predicted to secure a home victory with a 46.0% probability, while Alaves stands a 28.0% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw is at 26.0%. The match is also expected to result in under 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability. Currently, Girona finds themselves in 13th position in La Liga, whereas Alaves is teetering on the brink of relegation in 17th place.

Match Analysis

Girona's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with a loss to league leaders Barcelona and back-to-back draws against Valencia and Espanyol. Notably, Girona seems to struggle defensively, having conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last five encounters, and failing to keep a clean sheet. Offensively, they have managed to score an average of 1.4 goals per game, with a similar expected goals statistic (1.34), indicating they are performing around expectations. Alaves, on the other hand, recently enjoyed a victory against Villarreal but faltered with a loss to Vallecano and a draw with Las Palmas. Defensively, they have also conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their last five matches, but they stand out with a clean sheet in one of these games. Alaves have been slightly more prolific in front of goal compared to Girona, with an average of 1.8 goals scored, though their expected goals figure (1.268) suggests they may have been somewhat fortunate.

Final Prediction

Girona's predicted edge stems from their home advantage and slightly better position in the league standings. However, with both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities, the game could hinge on which side can capitalize on the other's defensive lapses. Keep an eye on Girona's ability to break down Alaves' defense, as this could be the deciding factor in the match.