La Liga 2024-2025: Getafe vs Real Madrid Prediction

Getafe

Home Team
8%
VS

Real Madrid

Away Team
85%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 88 32 56 73
2 Real Madrid 32 21 6 5 65 31 34 69
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 53 27 26 63
4 Betis 32 15 12 5 49 26 23 57
5 Villarreal 31 14 10 7 55 42 13 52
6 Betis 32 14 9 9 45 40 5 51
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 31 37 -6 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 47 49 -2 43
9 Sociedad 32 12 6 14 32 36 -4 42
10 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 35 39 -4 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 39 46 -7 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 31 29 2 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 34 40 -6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 36 48 -12 38
15 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 35 43 -8 37
16 Girona 32 9 7 16 39 51 -12 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 38 52 -14 32
18 Alaves 32 7 10 15 34 46 -12 31
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 29 48 -19 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 23 76 -53 16

Recent Trends

Getafe ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 1)

Real Madrid ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.43
# Clean Sheets: 1

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is predicted to triumph over Getafe with an 85% probability of winning, a clear indication of their dominance. The game is expected to have under 2.5 goals, with a 45% likelihood for this outcome. In the La Liga standings, Real Madrid sits in 2nd place with 69 points, while Getafe is at 12th with 39 points.

Match Analysis

Getafe's recent form has been less than stellar, with two losses and one win in their last three matches. They suffered a 0-1 defeat against Espanyol and a 1-3 loss at home to Las Palmas, but managed a convincing 4-0 victory away at Valladolid. Key metrics show Getafe scoring an average of 1 goal per game in their last five matches, while conceding 1.6 goals on average. Their defense needs to tighten up, having kept only one clean sheet in these games. Real Madrid, on the other hand, has shown a more balanced performance. They secured two 1-0 victories against Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, though they did slip with a 1-2 home defeat to Valencia. Over their last five games, Real Madrid has averaged 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded per game. Their expected goals (xG) suggest they are creating chances, with a figure of 1.536, while maintaining a solid defense with 1.406 expected goals conceded. Additionally, they have achieved two clean sheets, reflecting their defensive capabilities.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's superior position in the league and their recent form give them a significant edge over Getafe. Their defensive solidity and ability to secure crucial victories, even with narrow margins, could be the decisive factors. Fans should keep an eye on Real Madrid's ability to control the game and capitalize on their chances, as this will be key to maintaining their championship aspirations.