La Liga 2024-2025: Getafe vs Las Palmas Prediction

Getafe

Home Team
77%
VS

Las Palmas

Away Team
11%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 83 29 54 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 63 31 32 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 22 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 51 39 12 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 41 37 4 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 44 43 1 43
8 Sociedad 30 12 5 13 30 32 -2 41
9 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
10 Mallorca 30 11 7 12 29 37 -8 40
11 Getafe 30 10 9 11 30 25 5 39
12 Sevilla 30 9 9 12 34 41 -7 36
13 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 34 43 -9 35
14 Valencia 30 8 10 12 34 47 -13 34
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 37 46 -9 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 31 40 -9 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 33 44 -11 30
18 Leganes 30 6 10 14 29 47 -18 28
19 Las Palmas 30 6 8 16 34 51 -17 26
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16

Recent Trends

Getafe ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 1)

Las Palmas ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.82
# Clean Sheets: 1

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.02
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Getafe is predicted to triumph over Las Palmas with a compelling 77.0% probability. The game is also expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% likelihood. Currently, Getafe is positioned at 11th in La Liga, while Las Palmas finds itself struggling in 19th place, flirting dangerously close with relegation.

Match Analysis

Getafe enters this clash on the back of a mixed bag of results. A notable 4-0 victory away against Valladolid showcased their offensive potential, though it was sandwiched between a narrow 1-2 loss to Villarreal at home and a resilient 2-1 win over Osasuna. This indicates an ability to bounce back and score under pressure. Defensively, Getafe has been reasonably solid, keeping one clean sheet in their last five outings, while also conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. Their expected goals metrics align closely with their actual performance, reinforcing their consistent yet unspectacular play. In contrast, Las Palmas has found wins elusive, managing just two draws and a loss in their recent fixtures. Their draw against Celta was a hard-fought point away from home, but a 1-3 defeat to Sociedad and a 2-2 stalemate with Alaves at home underline defensive frailties. Las Palmas struggles both in scoring and preventing goals, with averages standing at 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their expected goals metrics suggest a similar struggle, with a significant gap in expected goals against.

Final Prediction

Getafe's edge in this matchup lies in their ability to translate opportunities into goals and maintain a more robust defensive structure. A key factor to watch will be Getafe's ability to capitalize on Las Palmas' defensive vulnerabilities, which could be decisive. Football fans should keep an eye on how Getafe manages to control the game and whether Las Palmas can defy expectations to disrupt their rhythm.