La Liga 2024-2025: Getafe vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Getafe

Home Team
17%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
68%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Ath Madrid 26 16 8 2 43 16 27 56
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 55 25 30 54
4 Ath Bilbao 26 13 9 4 44 23 21 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Betis 26 10 8 8 34 33 1 38
7 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 28 27 1 36
8 Mallorca 26 10 6 10 25 32 -7 36
9 Sociedad 26 10 4 12 23 27 -4 34
10 Celta 26 9 6 11 38 40 -2 33
11 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
12 Sevilla 26 8 9 9 31 36 -5 33
13 Girona 26 9 5 12 34 39 -5 32
14 Getafe 26 7 9 10 21 21 0 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 26 6 9 11 23 38 -15 27
17 Las Palmas 26 6 6 14 30 44 -14 24
18 Valencia 26 5 9 12 28 44 -16 24
19 Alaves 26 5 8 13 29 40 -11 23
20 Valladolid 26 4 4 18 17 60 -43 16

Recent Trends

Getafe ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 0)

Ath Madrid ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.99
# Clean Sheets: 2

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.70
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Getafe and Atlético Madrid, the prediction heavily favors an Atlético Madrid victory, with a 68.0% probability. Meanwhile, the chance of Getafe winning stands at 17.0%, while a draw is predicted at 15.0%. The game is expected to have a relatively low scoreline, with a 47.0% chance of having under 2.5 goals. Currently, Atlético Madrid is sitting comfortably in 2nd place, just one point behind the league leaders Barcelona, while Getafe is in 14th position, battling to move up the standings.

Match Analysis

Getafe enters this match with mixed recent performances. They managed a 2-1 victory against Girona away from home but suffered losses against Leganes and Betis. Their attack has been somewhat subdued, with an average of 0.6 goals scored over their last five matches, which shows a need to break through strong defenses. Defensively, they have kept two clean sheets in the last five games, conceding an average of 0.8 goals, which is a positive aspect they might need to rely upon against a potent Atlético Madrid side. On the other hand, Atlético Madrid comes into this match in excellent form. They've won convincingly against both Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, and held Celta to a draw. Their attack has been impressive, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last five matches, while their defense remains solid, conceding only 0.6 goals on average. The advanced metrics underline Atlético's attacking prowess with an average of 2.222 expected goals, indicating their ability to create and capitalize on scoring opportunities consistently.

Final Prediction

Atlético Madrid has a clear edge over Getafe due to their superior form and attacking capabilities. Their consistent ability to score and their robust defense make them the favorites in this encounter. A key factor to watch during the game will be Atlético's attacking efficiency against Getafe's defense, which could determine the flow and outcome of the match.