La Liga 2024-2025: Espanol vs Girona Prediction

Espanol

Home Team
30%
VS

Girona

Away Team
49%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 38%
Under 2.5: 62%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Ath Madrid 26 16 8 2 43 16 27 56
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 55 25 30 54
4 Ath Bilbao 26 13 9 4 44 23 21 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Betis 26 10 8 8 34 33 1 38
7 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 28 27 1 36
8 Mallorca 26 10 6 10 25 32 -7 36
9 Sociedad 26 10 4 12 23 27 -4 34
10 Celta 26 9 6 11 38 40 -2 33
11 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
12 Sevilla 26 8 9 9 31 36 -5 33
13 Girona 26 9 5 12 34 39 -5 32
14 Getafe 26 7 9 10 21 21 0 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 26 6 9 11 23 38 -15 27
17 Las Palmas 26 6 6 14 30 44 -14 24
18 Valencia 26 5 9 12 28 44 -16 24
19 Alaves 26 5 8 13 29 40 -11 23
20 Valladolid 26 4 4 18 17 60 -43 16

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 2

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.51
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Espanol and Girona is predicted to favor the away team, Girona, with a 49.0% probability of victory. Meanwhile, the home side, Espanol, has a 30.0% chance of securing a win. The likelihood of a draw stands at 21.0%. This match is also expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 38.0% for over 2.5 goals. As it stands, Girona occupies the 13th position on the La Liga table, while Espanol is in 15th place.

Match Analysis

Espanol enters this match with a mixed bag of recent results, having secured a win against Alaves, drawn with Athletic Bilbao, and suffered a loss to Sociedad. Their defense has shown some resilience, evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five matches. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 0.8, which shows a solid defensive performance but room for improvement in attack. On the other hand, Girona's recent form has been less encouraging, with a draw against Celta followed by consecutive losses to Real Madrid and Getafe. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game while scoring just 0.6. Their lack of clean sheets in the last five games highlights defensive vulnerabilities, which could be exploited by Espanol.

Final Prediction

Given Girona's higher probability of winning, coupled with Espanol's defensive strengths, Girona's edge lies in their potential to capitalize on scoring opportunities despite their recent dip in form. A key factor to watch in this matchup will be Espanol's ability to maintain their defensive solidity and whether Girona can break through to secure the win. This game promises to be a closely contested affair where every goal-scoring opportunity will be crucial.