La Liga 2024-2025: Espanol vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Espanol

Home Team
8%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
84%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 27 19 3 5 75 27 48 60
2 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 59 27 32 60
3 Ath Madrid 28 16 8 4 46 22 24 56
4 Ath Bilbao 28 14 10 4 46 24 22 52
5 Villarreal 27 12 8 7 49 38 11 44
6 Betis 28 12 8 8 38 35 3 44
7 Mallorca 28 11 7 10 28 34 -6 40
8 Celta 28 11 6 11 41 41 0 39
9 Vallecano 28 9 10 9 31 31 0 37
10 Sevilla 28 9 9 10 32 37 -5 36
11 Getafe 28 9 9 10 25 23 2 36
12 Sociedad 28 10 5 13 25 30 -5 35
13 Girona 28 9 7 12 36 41 -5 34
14 Osasuna 27 7 12 8 33 39 -6 33
15 Espanol 27 7 7 13 26 39 -13 28
16 Valencia 28 6 10 12 31 46 -15 28
17 Alaves 28 6 9 13 32 42 -10 27
18 Leganes 28 6 9 13 26 43 -17 27
19 Las Palmas 28 6 7 15 32 47 -15 25
20 Valladolid 28 4 4 20 18 63 -45 16

Recent Trends

Espanol ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)

Ath Madrid ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.53
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.89
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Espanol and Athletico Madrid is heavily skewed in favor of the away team. With a commanding 84.0% probability of victory, Atletico Madrid stands as the clear favorite. The predicted outcome is a victory for Atletico Madrid, with the likelihood of the match having fewer than 2.5 goals standing at 48.0%. Atletico Madrid is currently sitting comfortably in 3rd position in the La Liga standings with 56 points, while Espanol is struggling in 15th place with 28 points.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Espanol has shown inconsistent form. They managed a narrow win against Alaves, but their struggles became evident with a draw against Girona and a loss to Mallorca. Despite averaging 1.2 goals per match over the last five games, their defense has been relatively robust, conceding just 0.8 goals per game on average. However, their expected goals conceded stands at 1.532, which could be a cause for concern against a potent Atletico Madrid attack. On the other hand, Atletico Madrid has had a mixed bag of recent performances. They suffered a defeat to both Barcelona and Getafe, showcasing vulnerabilities in their defense. Nevertheless, a win against Athletic Bilbao highlighted their ability to bounce back. Atletico has maintained an average of 1.4 goals scored per game over the last five matches, with a promising expected goals rate of 1.746. Despite a slightly leaky defense, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game, their two clean sheets in the last five matches reflect resilience.

Final Prediction

Atletico Madrid's dominance in the prediction is justified by their superior position in the league and consistent goal-scoring ability. Their higher expected goals and recent clean sheets give them an edge over Espanol. A key factor to watch in this game will be Atletico's ability to capitalize on their attacking opportunities while maintaining a solid defensive structure against an Espanol side looking to upset the odds.