La Liga 2024-2025: Celta vs Villarreal Prediction

Celta

Home Team
39%
VS

Villarreal

Away Team
35%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 88 32 56 73
2 Real Madrid 32 21 6 5 65 31 34 69
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 53 27 26 63
4 Betis 32 15 12 5 49 26 23 57
5 Villarreal 31 14 10 7 55 42 13 52
6 Betis 32 14 9 9 45 40 5 51
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 31 37 -6 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 47 49 -2 43
9 Sociedad 32 12 6 14 32 36 -4 42
10 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 35 39 -4 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 39 46 -7 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 31 29 2 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 34 40 -6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 36 48 -12 38
15 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 35 43 -8 37
16 Girona 32 9 7 16 39 51 -12 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 38 52 -14 32
18 Alaves 32 7 10 15 34 46 -12 31
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 29 48 -19 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 23 76 -53 16

Recent Trends

Celta ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)

Villarreal ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.93
# Clean Sheets: 1

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.32
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Celta and Villarreal is expected to be a closely contested match, with Celta predicted to have a slight edge with a 39% chance of winning. Villarreal follows closely with a 35% likelihood of securing victory, while a draw stands at 26%. The game is anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals. In the current La Liga standings, Celta is positioned 8th, while Villarreal holds the 5th spot, making this match crucial for both teams.

Match Analysis

In recent outings, Celta has experienced a roller-coaster of results. They managed a hard-fought 3-4 loss against league leaders Barcelona and suffered a disappointing 0-2 defeat at home to Espanyol. However, a resilient performance saw them secure a 2-1 victory away at Mallorca. Their recent form shows inconsistency, but they've demonstrated the ability to score, with an average of 1.4 goals in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Villarreal has shown resilience with a mix of results, including a commendable 2-2 draw against Sociedad and a vital 2-1 win over Betis away from home. A goalless draw against Athletic Bilbao highlighted their defensive capabilities, as they have conceded fewer goals on average than Celta in recent games. Advanced metrics indicate both teams are evenly matched in terms of offensive capabilities, with Celta's average expected goals at 1.408 and Villarreal's slightly higher at 1.478. Defensively, Villarreal appears more robust, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game compared to Celta's 1.2. However, Celta's ability to generate scoring opportunities could challenge Villarreal's defense.

Final Prediction

Celta's slight edge in this prediction can be attributed to their home advantage and recent attacking performances. Despite their inconsistencies, their ability to score against top-tier teams like Barcelona could be a decisive factor. Fans should keep an eye on the midfield battle, as it could determine which team controls the tempo and creates more scoring chances.