La Liga 2024-2025: Celta vs Leganes Prediction

Celta

Home Team
86%
VS

Leganes

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Ath Madrid 26 16 8 2 43 16 27 56
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 55 25 30 54
4 Ath Bilbao 26 13 9 4 44 23 21 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Betis 26 10 8 8 34 33 1 38
7 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 28 27 1 36
8 Mallorca 26 10 6 10 25 32 -7 36
9 Sociedad 26 10 4 12 23 27 -4 34
10 Celta 26 9 6 11 38 40 -2 33
11 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
12 Sevilla 26 8 9 9 31 36 -5 33
13 Girona 26 9 5 12 34 39 -5 32
14 Getafe 26 7 9 10 21 21 0 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 26 6 9 11 23 38 -15 27
17 Las Palmas 26 6 6 14 30 44 -14 24
18 Valencia 26 5 9 12 28 44 -16 24
19 Alaves 26 5 8 13 29 40 -11 23
20 Valladolid 26 4 4 18 17 60 -43 16

Recent Trends

Celta ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 2)

Leganes ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.25
# Clean Sheets: 1

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Celta and Leganes is heavily tipped in favor of Celta, with a dominating 86.0% probability of a home victory. On the flip side, Leganes holds a slim 6.0% chance of walking away with a win. The predicted outcome also suggests a low-scoring affair with an under 2.5 goals scenario. Celta currently sits in 10th place in the La Liga standings, while Leganes is struggling at 16th, perilously close to the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Celta has displayed a commendable run of form in their last three outings, securing a crucial win against Osasuna and earning draws against strong sides like Girona and Ath Madrid. Their recent performances have been characterized by a balanced attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while maintaining defensive solidity with only 0.8 goals conceded on average. Celta's ability to control games is further highlighted by their expected goals metrics, which indicate that they have been efficient in both creating and denying goal-scoring opportunities. Leganes, in contrast, has had a mixed bag of results, managing only one win against Getafe, while suffering a heavy loss to Sociedad and a high-scoring draw with Alaves. Their offensive struggles are evident, with an average of just 0.4 goals per game, and they haven't been particularly tight at the back either, conceding 1.2 goals on average. The advanced metrics paint a similar picture, with Leganes generating fewer expected goals than their opponents, highlighting potential vulnerabilities going into this match.

Final Prediction

Celta's robust form and statistical edge give them a clear advantage over Leganes in this encounter. Their superior scoring rate and defensive record suggest they are well-equipped to handle Leganes' challenges. One key factor to watch will be Celta's ability to capitalize on their chances, as Leganes has struggled to contain teams with attacking prowess. Football fans can anticipate a strategic battle where Celta's efficiency in both ends of the pitch could prove decisive.