La Liga 2024-2025: Celta vs Espanol Prediction

Celta

Home Team
89%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
4%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 83 29 54 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 63 31 32 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 22 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 51 39 12 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 41 37 4 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 44 43 1 43
8 Sociedad 30 12 5 13 30 32 -2 41
9 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
10 Mallorca 30 11 7 12 29 37 -8 40
11 Getafe 30 10 9 11 30 25 5 39
12 Sevilla 30 9 9 12 34 41 -7 36
13 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 34 43 -9 35
14 Valencia 30 8 10 12 34 47 -13 34
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 37 46 -9 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 31 40 -9 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 33 44 -11 30
18 Leganes 30 6 10 14 29 47 -18 28
19 Las Palmas 30 6 8 16 34 51 -17 26
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16

Recent Trends

Celta ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 2)

Espanol ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.32
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.28
# Clean Sheets: 1

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.49
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Celta is heavily favored to win their upcoming clash against Espanyol, with a commanding 89.0% probability of securing a victory. The likelihood of Espanyol pulling off an upset stands at a mere 4.0%, while a draw is pegged at 6.0%. Both teams have been navigating the season in contrasting positions; Celta sits comfortably in 7th place in La Liga, while Espanyol is battling to avoid relegation in 16th place. The game is also predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 43.0% for an over 2.5 goals outcome.

Match Analysis

Celta has been in decent form recently, securing two wins and a draw in their last three outings. A notable victory against Valladolid and an away win at Mallorca highlight their resilience and ability to grind out results. Their recent draw at home against Las Palmas shows that while they are capable of scoring, keeping clean sheets remains a challenge. The advanced metrics reflect this, with Celta averaging 1.6 goals per game but conceding 1.2 on average over the last five matches. Espanyol, on the other hand, has shown mixed form. Their emphatic 4-0 away win against Vallecano was a standout result, demonstrating their potential to score heavily. However, a loss to Mallorca and a draw against Atletico Madrid suggest a lack of consistency. Espanyol's defensive solidity, marked by two clean sheets in their last five matches, could be vital. They have matched Celta's goal-scoring average of 1.6 per game but have a slightly better defensive average, conceding only 1.0 goals per game recently.

Final Prediction

Celta's superior league position and consistent recent performances give them the upper hand in this fixture. Their ability to secure results against teams both above and below them in the standings showcases their adaptability and strength. Key factors to watch during the game will be Celta's ability to maintain defensive focus and Espanyol's potential to exploit any defensive lapses with their proven goal-scoring capability.