La Liga 2024-2025: Barcelona vs Sociedad Prediction

Barcelona

Home Team
95%
VS

Sociedad

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 25 17 3 5 67 25 42 54
2 Real Madrid 25 16 6 3 54 23 31 54
3 Ath Madrid 25 15 8 2 42 16 26 53
4 Ath Bilbao 25 13 9 3 44 22 22 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Vallecano 25 9 8 8 27 26 1 35
7 Betis 25 9 8 8 32 32 0 35
8 Mallorca 25 10 5 10 24 31 -7 35
9 Sociedad 25 10 4 11 23 23 0 34
10 Celta 25 9 5 11 36 38 -2 32
11 Sevilla 25 8 8 9 30 35 -5 32
12 Osasuna 25 7 11 7 29 34 -5 32
13 Girona 25 9 4 12 32 37 -5 31
14 Getafe 25 7 9 9 21 20 1 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 25 5 9 11 22 38 -16 24
17 Las Palmas 25 6 5 14 29 43 -14 23
18 Valencia 25 5 8 12 25 41 -16 23
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 28 39 -11 22
20 Valladolid 25 4 3 18 16 59 -43 15

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.84
# Clean Sheets: 3

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Barcelona and Sociedad is heavily tipped in favor of the home team, Barcelona, with a whopping 95% probability of victory. The prediction suggests a high-scoring affair, with a 59% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals. As it stands, Barcelona sits at the top of La Liga tied with Real Madrid, whereas Sociedad finds themselves in the 9th position, battling to climb the standings.

Match Analysis

Barcelona enters this fixture riding the momentum of a three-game winning streak. Recent victories include a convincing 4-1 away win over Sevilla and a solid 2-0 triumph against Las Palmas. Barcelona's attack has been in fine form, averaging 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches, backed by a robust defense that has kept three clean sheets in the same period. Their expected goals (xG) metrics indicate a team performing just above expectations, with 2.784 expected goals per game, highlighting their attacking prowess. Sociedad, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results, with two wins and a loss in their last three games. Their recent 3-0 victory over Leganes shows they can perform well, but inconsistency remains a concern, as evidenced by their 3-0 loss to Betis. Sociedad's average of 0.8 goals scored per game and 1.6 conceded over the last five games suggests they might struggle defensively against a free-scoring Barcelona side. Their xG of 1.074 and xGA of 1.41 underline a team that needs to tighten up at the back to compete at the top level.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's remarkable form and superior goal-scoring ability give them a significant edge in this encounter. A key element to watch will be how Sociedad's defense handles Barcelona's attacking threats, particularly given the home side's knack for creating scoring opportunities. With both teams having distinct goals for the season, the outcome of this match could have lasting implications on their respective campaigns.