La Liga 2024-2025: Barcelona vs Osasuna Prediction

Barcelona

Home Team
99%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
0%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 73%
Under 2.5: 27%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Ath Madrid 26 16 8 2 43 16 27 56
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 55 25 30 54
4 Ath Bilbao 26 13 9 4 44 23 21 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Betis 26 10 8 8 34 33 1 38
7 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 28 27 1 36
8 Mallorca 26 10 6 10 25 32 -7 36
9 Sociedad 26 10 4 12 23 27 -4 34
10 Celta 26 9 6 11 38 40 -2 33
11 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
12 Sevilla 26 8 9 9 31 36 -5 33
13 Girona 26 9 5 12 34 39 -5 32
14 Getafe 26 7 9 10 21 21 0 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 26 6 9 11 23 38 -15 27
17 Las Palmas 26 6 6 14 30 44 -14 24
18 Valencia 26 5 9 12 28 44 -16 24
19 Alaves 26 5 8 13 29 40 -11 23
20 Valladolid 26 4 4 18 17 60 -43 16

Recent Trends

Barcelona ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)

Osasuna ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.69
# Clean Sheets: 4

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Barcelona and Osasuna heavily favors the home team, with a staggering 99.0% probability of a Barcelona victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 1.0%, while an Osasuna win is virtually impossible. The prediction also indicates a high probability (73.0%) of the match seeing over 2.5 goals. Currently, Barcelona sits comfortably at the top of the La Liga standings, while Osasuna occupies the 11th position.

Match Analysis

Barcelona enters this fixture in exceptional form, having secured three consecutive wins in their last matches against Sociedad, Las Palmas, and Vallecano. They have managed to keep clean sheets in all these games, showcasing their defensive solidity. Barcelona's attacking prowess is also evident, with an average of 2.8 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Their expected goals figures underline their attacking efficiency, with an impressive average of 3.078 expected goals scored in recent performances. Osasuna, on the other hand, has had a mixed run, with two draws and one loss in their last three games. Their matches against Valencia and Real Madrid ended in draws, while they suffered a narrow defeat to Celta. Despite these results, Osasuna's goal-scoring has been relatively low, averaging just 0.4 goals per game over their last five matches. They also have yet to keep a clean sheet in this period, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in their defense.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's current form and statistical superiority give them a decisive edge over Osasuna. Their ability to consistently score and maintain defensive stability positions them as strong favorites. A key factor to watch during the game will be Barcelona's offensive play, which could see them scoring multiple goals, further cementing their dominance in the league.