La Liga 2024-2025: Ath Madrid vs Vallecano Prediction

Ath Madrid

Home Team
90%
VS

Vallecano

Away Team
4%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 88 32 56 73
2 Real Madrid 32 21 6 5 65 31 34 69
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 53 27 26 63
4 Betis 32 15 12 5 49 26 23 57
5 Villarreal 31 14 10 7 55 42 13 52
6 Betis 32 14 9 9 45 40 5 51
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 31 37 -6 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 47 49 -2 43
9 Sociedad 32 12 6 14 32 36 -4 42
10 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 35 39 -4 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 39 46 -7 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 31 29 2 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 34 40 -6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 36 48 -12 38
15 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 35 43 -8 37
16 Girona 32 9 7 16 39 51 -12 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 38 52 -14 32
18 Alaves 32 7 10 15 34 46 -12 31
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 29 48 -19 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 23 76 -53 16

Recent Trends

Ath Madrid ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 4)

Vallecano ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 0

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Ath Madrid and Vallecano is predicted to favor the home team, Ath Madrid, with a substantial 90% probability of winning. Currently sitting in 3rd place in La Liga, Ath Madrid will be looking to strengthen their position against 10th-placed Vallecano. Despite the high probability of a win for the home side, the game is expected to have under 2.5 goals, with only a 45% chance of exceeding that mark.

Match Analysis

Ath Madrid's recent form has been strong, with two victories in their last three matches. They secured a convincing 4-2 home win against Valladolid and a narrow 2-1 away victory at Sevilla, though they stumbled in a 1-0 away defeat to Las Palmas. Their recent performances have seen them score an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding 1.4, indicating a well-rounded attacking and defensive setup. In contrast, Vallecano's recent performances have been less impressive. They have endured a challenging period with a draw and two losses in their last three matches. After managing a 1-1 draw against Valencia, they suffered back-to-back losses against Ath Bilbao and Espanol, conceding a total of seven goals while scoring just one. Vallecano's attacking struggles are reflected in their average of 1.0 goals scored per game and their defense, allowing an average of 1.2 goals.

Final Prediction

Ath Madrid's superior form and solid league standing provide them with a significant edge in this matchup. Their consistent goal-scoring ability and strategic defensive play make them favorites to clinch victory. Fans should keep an eye on Ath Madrid's ability to control the game tempo and capitalize on Vallecano's defensive vulnerabilities, which could prove decisive in this encounter.