La Liga 2024-2025: Ath Madrid vs Valladolid Prediction

Ath Madrid

Home Team
96%
VS

Valladolid

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 83 29 54 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 63 31 32 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 22 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 51 39 12 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 41 37 4 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 44 43 1 43
8 Sociedad 30 12 5 13 30 32 -2 41
9 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
10 Mallorca 30 11 7 12 29 37 -8 40
11 Getafe 30 10 9 11 30 25 5 39
12 Sevilla 30 9 9 12 34 41 -7 36
13 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 34 43 -9 35
14 Valencia 30 8 10 12 34 47 -13 34
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 37 46 -9 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 31 40 -9 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 33 44 -11 30
18 Leganes 30 6 10 14 29 47 -18 28
19 Las Palmas 30 6 8 16 34 51 -17 26
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16

Recent Trends

Ath Madrid ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)

Valladolid ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.47
# Clean Sheets: 1

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 3.16
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Atlético Madrid and Valladolid is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, with a commanding 96.0% probability of victory. In stark contrast, Valladolid's chances stand at a mere 2.0%, with a 3.0% probability of a draw. Atlético Madrid sits comfortably in 3rd place in La Liga, while Valladolid languishes at the bottom, in 20th position. The prediction suggests a low-scoring affair, with a 47.0% chance of under 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Recent performances highlight a stark contrast between the two teams. Atlético Madrid has shown resilience, securing a victory against Sevilla and a draw with Espanyol, although they did suffer a home defeat to league leaders Barcelona. Despite this, their defensive stability is evident, as they've conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game in their last five matches, complemented by a clean sheet in one of those games. Offensively, they have averaged 1.4 goals, showcasing a balanced approach. On the other side, Valladolid's recent form has been dismal, with three consecutive losses against Getafe, Sociedad, and Celta, conceding a total of seven goals in the process. Their defensive frailties are highlighted by an average of 3.4 goals conceded per game, and they have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last five outings. Offensively, they have struggled as well, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored per game.

Final Prediction

Atlético Madrid's strong defensive record and superior league standing give them a clear edge over a struggling Valladolid side. The defensive solidity of Atlético, combined with Valladolid's porous defense, suggests that the home team is well-positioned to capitalize on their opportunities. A key factor to watch will be Atlético's ability to break down Valladolid's defense, aiming to secure a vital win in their pursuit of Champions League qualification.