La Liga 2024-2025: Ath Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction
Ath Madrid
Home Team
39%
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away Team
37%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 54 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 42 | 16 | 26 | 53 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Vallecano | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 35 |
| 7 | Betis | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 35 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | Sociedad | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Celta | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Girona | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | Getafe | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Espanol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Leganes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | Las Palmas | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 23 |
| 18 | Valencia | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 23 |
| 19 | Alaves | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 22 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 59 | -43 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Ath Madrid
- Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 1)
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Valladolid (Goals: 7 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Ath Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.86
# Clean Sheets:
2
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.83
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Ath Madrid and Ath Bilbao promises to be a close contest, with the home team slightly favored to win with a 39.0% probability. The likelihood of an Ath Bilbao victory is not far behind at 37.0%, and a draw sits at a 25.0% chance. Ath Madrid, currently third in La Liga, will be keen to solidify their Champions League spot against fourth-placed Ath Bilbao. The game is expected to see more than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 57.0%.
Match Analysis
Ath Madrid has shown consistent form over their last three fixtures, securing a notable 3-0 away win against Valencia. Their ability to hold Real Madrid to a 1-1 draw away and another 1-1 draw at home against Celta demonstrates their defensive solidity. The team has maintained two clean sheets in their last five matches, allowing an average of only 0.4 goals per game. With an expected goals (xG) rate of 1.63, Ath Madrid's attacking prowess is a force to be reckoned with.
Ath Bilbao, on the other hand, comes into this match with a convincing 7-1 victory over Valladolid, showcasing their attacking capabilities. A 1-1 draw away at Espanol and a 3-0 home win against Girona highlight their ability to score, averaging 1.6 goals per game over the last five matches. Bilbao's defense has been somewhat more porous, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. However, their xG of 1.436 suggests they can pose a significant threat to any defense.
Final Prediction
Ath Madrid's edge lies in their defensive stability and home advantage, which could be crucial in maintaining their position in the top four. The key factor to watch will be how well Ath Bilbao can break through Ath Madrid's formidable defense. With both teams demonstrating strong attacking capabilities, fans can anticipate an exciting and high-scoring encounter.