La Liga 2024-2025: Ath Bilbao vs Valladolid Prediction

Ath Bilbao

Home Team
96%
VS

Valladolid

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 24 16 3 5 65 25 40 51
2 Real Madrid 24 15 6 3 52 23 29 51
3 Ath Madrid 24 14 8 2 39 16 23 50
4 Ath Bilbao 24 12 9 3 37 21 16 45
5 Villarreal 24 11 8 5 47 35 12 41
6 Vallecano 24 9 8 7 27 25 2 35
7 Mallorca 24 10 4 10 23 30 -7 34
8 Betis 24 8 8 8 30 31 -1 32
9 Osasuna 24 7 11 6 29 33 -4 32
10 Girona 24 9 4 11 32 35 -3 31
11 Sociedad 24 9 4 11 20 23 -3 31
12 Sevilla 24 8 7 9 29 34 -5 31
13 Getafe 24 7 9 8 20 18 2 30
14 Celta 24 8 5 11 35 38 -3 29
15 Espanol 24 6 6 12 23 36 -13 24
16 Leganes 24 5 9 10 22 35 -13 24
17 Las Palmas 24 6 5 13 29 41 -12 23
18 Valencia 24 5 8 11 25 38 -13 23
19 Alaves 24 5 7 12 28 38 -10 22
20 Valladolid 24 4 3 17 15 52 -37 15

Recent Trends

Ath Bilbao ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 1)

Valladolid ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.04
# Clean Sheets: 2

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.30
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Athletic Bilbao is poised to secure a victory in their upcoming clash against Valladolid, with a commanding 96% probability of winning. Valladolid, rooted at the bottom of the La Liga standings, faces a staggering 1% chance of an upset, while the probability of a draw stands at a mere 2%. The match is predicted to feature under 2.5 goals, with a likelihood of 41%, suggesting a low-scoring encounter. Currently, Ath Bilbao resides in the 4th position, whereas Valladolid finds itself in the perilous 20th spot, battling to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Recent performances paint a contrasting picture for these two teams. Athletic Bilbao has shown resilience, securing a win against Girona and two draws against Espanyol and Betis in their last three fixtures. Their ability to score consistently, coupled with a solid defense that has conceded just 0.2 goals per game on average over the last five matches, highlights their formidability. The Basque side has also managed two clean sheets in this period, further bolstering their defensive credentials. In stark contrast, Valladolid has struggled significantly, enduring a streak of three consecutive losses against Sevilla, Vallecano, and Villarreal, conceding a worrying average of 2.6 goals per game in their last five outings. Their offensive output has been equally lackluster, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game. The gap in expected goals metrics between the teams is telling; Bilbao's average expected goals per game is 2.226, significantly higher than Valladolid's 0.880, underscoring the likely dominance of the home team in this fixture.

Final Prediction

Athletic Bilbao's superior league standing and recent form give them a clear advantage in this matchup against a struggling Valladolid side. The key factor to watch will be Bilbao's defensive solidity, which has been a cornerstone of their success, and could prove decisive in keeping Valladolid at bay. With Valladolid's current inability to find the back of the net consistently, Bilbao is well-positioned to capitalize and secure the three points.