La Liga 2024-2025: Alaves vs Espanol Prediction

Alaves

Home Team
78%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
10%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 24 16 3 5 65 25 40 51
2 Real Madrid 24 15 6 3 52 23 29 51
3 Ath Madrid 24 14 8 2 39 16 23 50
4 Ath Bilbao 24 12 9 3 37 21 16 45
5 Villarreal 24 11 8 5 47 35 12 41
6 Vallecano 24 9 8 7 27 25 2 35
7 Mallorca 24 10 4 10 23 30 -7 34
8 Betis 24 8 8 8 30 31 -1 32
9 Osasuna 24 7 11 6 29 33 -4 32
10 Girona 24 9 4 11 32 35 -3 31
11 Sociedad 24 9 4 11 20 23 -3 31
12 Sevilla 24 8 7 9 29 34 -5 31
13 Getafe 24 7 9 8 20 18 2 30
14 Celta 24 8 5 11 35 38 -3 29
15 Espanol 24 6 6 12 23 36 -13 24
16 Leganes 24 5 9 10 22 35 -13 24
17 Las Palmas 24 6 5 13 29 41 -12 23
18 Valencia 24 5 8 11 25 38 -13 23
19 Alaves 24 5 7 12 28 38 -10 22
20 Valladolid 24 4 3 17 15 52 -37 15

Recent Trends

Alaves ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 3 - 1)

Espanol ⚪ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.77
# Clean Sheets: 0

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Alaves and Espanyol is tipped in favor of the home team, Alaves, with a commanding 78% probability of victory. Meanwhile, Espanyol's chances stand at a modest 10%, with a draw probability of 12%. Both teams are currently battling in the lower half of the La Liga standings, with Alaves positioned at 19th and Espanyol slightly ahead at 15th. The game is also expected to be low-scoring, with a 40% probability for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a prediction of under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Alaves enters this fixture on the back of a challenging run, having drawn against Leganes and suffered narrow defeats to Getafe and Barcelona. Despite these results, Alaves demonstrated resilience, especially in their 3-3 draw against Leganes. However, their average of 0.6 goals scored in the last five games highlights a need for improved offensive execution. Espanyol, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag of results, managing an impressive win against Real Madrid but succumbing to Sociedad and drawing with Athletic Bilbao. Their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in the last five matches. Advanced metrics present an intriguing picture for both teams. Alaves has been marginally better defensively, conceding fewer goals on average compared to Espanyol. Their expected goals stats suggest they are creating decent opportunities but failing to capitalize. Espanyol's attacking metrics are similar, but their defense has been leakier, which could be a critical factor in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Alaves' slight defensive edge and home advantage provide them with a favorable outlook for this fixture. Their ability to withstand pressure and create chances, as reflected in their expected goals metric, could be decisive against an Espanyol side struggling defensively. Keep an eye on Alaves' forwards as they seek to exploit Espanyol's defensive vulnerabilities and secure a crucial home win.