Bundesliga 2024-2025: Wolfsburg vs St Pauli Prediction

Wolfsburg

Home Team
70%
VS

St Pauli

Away Team
14%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 4 1 72 20 52 61
2 Leverkusen 24 15 8 1 55 28 27 53
3 Ein Frankfurt 24 12 6 6 50 37 13 42
4 Mainz 24 12 5 7 39 25 14 41
5 Freiburg 24 12 4 8 34 36 -2 40
6 RB Leipzig 24 10 8 6 39 33 6 38
7 Wolfsburg 24 10 7 7 48 38 10 37
8 M'gladbach 24 11 4 9 38 35 3 37
9 Stuttgart 24 10 6 8 42 37 5 36
10 Dortmund 24 10 5 9 45 38 7 35
11 Augsburg 24 8 8 8 27 35 -8 32
12 Werder Bremen 24 8 6 10 36 49 -13 30
13 Hoffenheim 24 6 7 11 31 46 -15 25
14 Union Berlin 24 6 5 13 20 37 -17 23
15 St Pauli 24 6 3 15 18 29 -11 21
16 Bochum 24 4 5 15 23 47 -24 17
17 Holstein Kiel 24 4 4 16 35 59 -24 16
18 Heidenheim 24 4 3 17 27 50 -23 15

Recent Trends

Wolfsburg ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)

St Pauli ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 1

St Pauli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.52
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.68
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Wolfsburg is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against St Pauli, with a commanding 70% probability of a home victory. The chances of St Pauli securing an away win stand at a modest 14%, while a draw is slightly more probable at 16%. The match is anticipated to be low-scoring, with a 45% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Wolfsburg is positioned 7th in the Bundesliga standings, while St Pauli finds themselves struggling at 15th, perilously close to the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Wolfsburg enters this fixture with a solid recent record, securing two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They achieved victories against Werder Bremen and Stuttgart, both by a scoreline of 2-1, while their encounter with Bochum ended in a 1-1 draw. Wolfsburg's offensive unit has been relatively productive, averaging 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches, supported by an expected goals metric of 2.252. However, their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.4 goals on average during the same period. In stark contrast, St Pauli has struggled significantly, enduring three consecutive losses without scoring a single goal. Their recent defeats to Dortmund, Mainz, and Freiburg underscore their current challenges, with their defense conceding a total of five goals. St Pauli's offensive struggles are evident in their average of just 0.6 goals per game over their last five matches, despite an expected goals tally of 1.516. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.0 goals per game, reflecting a relatively better performance compared to their attack.

Final Prediction

Wolfsburg appears to have a clear edge over St Pauli, primarily due to their superior form and more potent attacking capabilities. While St Pauli has struggled to find the back of the net, Wolfsburg's offensive efficiency and home advantage position them as favorites. A key factor to watch in this match will be whether St Pauli can overcome their scoring drought and challenge Wolfsburg's defense, which could significantly impact the game's dynamics.