Bundesliga 2024-2025: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Wolfsburg

Home Team
41%
VS

RB Leipzig

Away Team
35%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 67%
Under 2.5: 33%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 81 27 54 68
2 Leverkusen 28 18 8 2 63 34 29 62
3 Ein Frankfurt 28 14 6 8 55 42 13 48
4 Mainz 28 13 7 8 46 32 14 46
5 RB Leipzig 28 12 9 7 44 35 9 45
6 M'gladbach 28 13 5 10 45 41 4 44
7 Freiburg 28 12 6 10 38 44 -6 42
8 Dortmund 28 12 5 11 52 43 9 41
9 Stuttgart 28 11 7 10 51 44 7 40
10 Werder Bremen 28 11 6 11 45 53 -8 39
11 Augsburg 28 10 9 9 31 39 -8 39
12 Wolfsburg 28 10 8 10 49 42 7 38
13 Union Berlin 28 9 6 13 26 40 -14 33
14 Hoffenheim 28 6 9 13 34 52 -18 27
15 St Pauli 28 7 5 16 23 34 -11 26
16 Heidenheim 28 6 4 18 32 53 -21 22
17 Bochum 28 5 5 18 28 59 -31 20
18 Holstein Kiel 28 4 6 18 39 68 -29 18

Recent Trends

Wolfsburg ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 1)

RB Leipzig ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.76
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 0

RB Leipzig

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig is predicted to favor the home team with a 41% probability of winning, while RB Leipzig has a 35% chance of taking the victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 24%. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Wolfsburg finds themselves in 12th position, while RB Leipzig sits slightly higher in 5th place, vying for a spot in European competition next season.

Match Analysis

Wolfsburg enters this encounter on a disappointing run, having lost their last three matches, all by a margin of 1-0. Their recent form sees them struggling in front of goal, as evidenced by their average of just 0.8 goals scored per match in the last five games. However, their expected goals (xG) of 1.758 suggests that they have been creating chances but failing to convert. Defensively, Wolfsburg has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. Despite their current position, they have shown potential to turn things around. RB Leipzig, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag of results in their recent outings with two wins and one loss. They managed an impressive 3-1 victory against Hoffenheim and a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over Dortmund, showcasing their defensive capabilities. Leipzig's average goals scored in the last five games is 0.6, slightly lower than Wolfsburg. However, they have maintained two clean sheets in their last five matches, indicating a strong defensive line. Their xG of 1.448 suggests they are also creating opportunities, but like Wolfsburg, need to improve their finishing.

Final Prediction

Wolfsburg holds a slight edge due to the home advantage and their ability to create goal-scoring opportunities, which could prove decisive against a Leipzig side that has been inconsistent away from home. A key factor to watch will be whether Wolfsburg can convert their chances into goals, as this has been their Achilles' heel in recent matches. Football fans can anticipate an intriguing battle with both teams eager to improve their standings in the league.