Bundesliga 2024-2025: Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim Prediction

Wolfsburg

Home Team
76%
VS

Heidenheim

Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 5 2 75 24 51 62
2 Leverkusen 26 16 8 2 59 33 26 56
3 Mainz 26 13 6 7 44 28 16 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 26 13 6 7 54 40 14 45
5 RB Leipzig 26 11 9 6 41 33 8 42
6 Freiburg 26 12 6 8 36 38 -2 42
7 M'gladbach 26 12 4 10 43 40 3 40
8 Wolfsburg 26 10 8 8 49 40 9 38
9 Augsburg 26 10 8 8 29 35 -6 38
10 Stuttgart 26 10 7 9 47 43 4 37
11 Dortmund 26 10 5 11 45 41 4 35
12 Werder Bremen 26 9 6 11 40 53 -13 33
13 Union Berlin 26 7 6 13 23 39 -16 27
14 Hoffenheim 26 6 8 12 32 48 -16 26
15 St Pauli 26 7 4 15 20 30 -10 25
16 Bochum 26 5 5 16 27 52 -25 20
17 Heidenheim 26 5 4 17 31 52 -21 19
18 Holstein Kiel 26 4 5 17 38 64 -26 17

Recent Trends

Wolfsburg ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)

Heidenheim ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 0

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Wolfsburg is strongly favored to secure a victory over Heidenheim with a winning probability of 76.0%. The encounter is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 57.0% chance. Currently, Wolfsburg sits in 8th position in the league standings, while Heidenheim is struggling at 17th place, fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Wolfsburg enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They managed a victory against Werder Bremen, but followed it up with a draw against St Pauli and a loss to Augsburg. Despite these inconsistent results, Wolfsburg has been relatively effective in front of goal, scoring an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, supported by a strong expected goals figure of 2.256. However, their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game, with no clean sheets in their last five outings. Conversely, Heidenheim is in a precarious position, having won just one of their last three matches. Their recent victory over Holstein Kiel offered some respite, yet they were unable to build momentum, drawing with Hoffenheim and losing to M'gladbach. Heidenheim's attacking output has been modest, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game, and their defensive frailties are pronounced, conceding 1.8 goals on average. Their expected goals metrics suggest they have struggled to create high-quality chances consistently, with an expected goals figure of 1.288 over the last five games.

Final Prediction

Wolfsburg's superior attacking prowess and Heidenheim's defensive vulnerabilities give the home side a clear edge in this fixture. The key factor to watch will be Wolfsburg's ability to convert their chances, as their higher expected goals suggest they have the capability to break down Heidenheim's defense. With Wolfsburg's formidable attacking record and Heidenheim's struggles at the back, fans can anticipate an entertaining match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.