Bundesliga 2024-2025: Wolfsburg vs Bochum Prediction

Wolfsburg

Home Team
67%
VS

Bochum

Away Team
15%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 22 17 4 1 65 19 46 55
2 Leverkusen 22 13 8 1 49 27 22 47
3 Ein Frankfurt 22 12 6 4 49 29 20 42
4 RB Leipzig 22 10 7 5 36 29 7 37
5 Freiburg 22 11 3 8 29 36 -7 36
6 Mainz 22 10 5 7 35 24 11 35
7 Stuttgart 22 10 5 7 40 33 7 35
8 M'gladbach 22 10 4 8 35 32 3 34
9 Wolfsburg 22 9 6 7 45 36 9 33
10 Werder Bremen 22 8 6 8 35 42 -7 30
11 Dortmund 22 8 5 9 37 38 -1 29
12 Augsburg 22 7 7 8 24 35 -11 28
13 Union Berlin 22 6 6 10 21 29 -8 24
14 St Pauli 22 6 3 13 18 25 -7 21
15 Hoffenheim 22 5 6 11 29 45 -16 21
16 Heidenheim 22 4 2 16 25 45 -20 14
17 Bochum 22 3 5 14 21 46 -25 14
18 Holstein Kiel 22 3 4 15 34 57 -23 13

Recent Trends

Wolfsburg ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 3)

Bochum ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.64
# Clean Sheets: 1

Bochum

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.38
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bochum is heavily tipped in favor of the hosts, Wolfsburg, with a 67% probability of winning. Given Wolfsburg's position at 9th in the league, they are comfortably ahead of Bochum, who languish at 17th and are fighting to avoid relegation. Additionally, the match is expected to have over 2.5 goals, with a 66% probability for a high-scoring encounter.

Match Analysis

Wolfsburg comes into this fixture with a decent run of form, having secured a win against Stuttgart away and managing draws against higher-ranked Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt. This run suggests a resilient team capable of grinding out results. Their recent games have shown a capacity to score, averaging 2.4 goals, though their defense has been slightly leaky with an average of 1.8 goals conceded. Wolfsburg’s expected goals (xG) metrics also indicate a strong offensive presence, averaging 2.118 xG, which further solidifies their attacking threat. Bochum, on the other hand, has struggled, with just one win in their last three games, a surprising 2-0 victory over Dortmund at home. They followed it with a draw against Holstein Kiel and a narrow loss to Freiburg. Bochum's scoring has been an issue, with only 0.6 goals per game, while their defense has been breached frequently, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. The expected goals conceded (xGA) for Bochum is notably high at 2.376, which reflects their defensive vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Wolfsburg is likely to capitalize on Bochum’s defensive frailties and maintain their edge, driven by a potent attack that has been consistent in recent matches. A key factor to watch will be Wolfsburg's ability to turn their expected goals into actual goals, as this could be the decisive element in securing a home victory.