Bundesliga 2024-2025: Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Werder Bremen

Home Team
38%
VS

Wolfsburg

Away Team
37%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 23 18 4 1 69 19 50 58
2 Leverkusen 23 14 8 1 51 27 24 50
3 Ein Frankfurt 23 12 6 5 49 33 16 42
4 Freiburg 23 12 3 8 34 36 -2 39
5 Mainz 23 11 5 7 37 24 13 38
6 RB Leipzig 23 10 8 5 38 31 7 38
7 Stuttgart 23 10 6 7 41 34 7 36
8 Wolfsburg 23 9 7 7 46 37 9 34
9 M'gladbach 23 10 4 9 35 35 0 34
10 Dortmund 23 9 5 9 43 38 5 32
11 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 27 35 -8 31
12 Werder Bremen 23 8 6 9 35 47 -12 30
13 Union Berlin 23 6 6 11 21 35 -14 24
14 Hoffenheim 23 5 7 11 30 46 -16 22
15 St Pauli 23 6 3 14 18 27 -9 21
16 Heidenheim 23 4 3 16 27 47 -20 15
17 Bochum 23 3 6 14 22 47 -25 15
18 Holstein Kiel 23 3 4 16 34 59 -25 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.56
# Clean Sheets: 1

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.06
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Werder Bremen is predicted to edge out Wolfsburg in their upcoming Bundesliga clash, with a 38.0% probability of a home win. The odds of an away victory for Wolfsburg are close, at 37.0%, while a draw sits at 26.0%. Positioned 12th in the league, Werder Bremen will host 8th-placed Wolfsburg, in a match expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% probability.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Werder Bremen has struggled significantly, enduring a string of three consecutive defeats. Their recent encounters include heavy losses to Freiburg (5-0) and Bayern Munich (3-0), as well as a 3-1 home defeat to Hoffenheim. These results indicate a worrying trend of defensive frailties, as they have conceded 11 goals across these matches without much offensive output. Conversely, Wolfsburg has shown a slightly more positive trajectory, securing a win against Stuttgart (2-1) and managing draws against Bochum (1-1) and a goalless draw with second-placed Leverkusen. Wolfsburg's recent performances suggest a more balanced approach, though their defense has been inconsistent, as evidenced by their average of 1.6 goals conceded per game over their last five matches. Advanced metrics further highlight Werder Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per game. Although their expected goals scored are relatively decent at 1.84, the defensive lapses, reflected by their expected goals conceded at 1.56, have undermined their efforts. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, demonstrates a similar scoring potential with 1.6 goals per game but are slightly more vulnerable defensively, with expected goals conceded at 2.06.

Final Prediction

Werder Bremen's predicted win hinges on their ability to capitalize on home advantage and address their defensive shortcomings. A key factor to watch will be how Bremen manages to contain Wolfsburg's attacking threats, given their recent defensive struggles. This match could very well hinge on which side manages to tighten up at the back while exploiting scoring opportunities, making it an intriguing encounter for fans.