Bundesliga 2024-2025: Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg Prediction
Werder Bremen
Home Team
38%
VS
Wolfsburg
Away Team
37%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Current Standings
Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 58 |
2 | Leverkusen | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 50 |
3 | Ein Frankfurt | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 42 |
4 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
5 | Mainz | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Stuttgart | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 36 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 34 |
9 | M'gladbach | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
10 | Dortmund | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 32 |
11 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Union Berlin | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 22 |
15 | St Pauli | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Heidenheim | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 15 |
17 | Bochum | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 47 | -25 | 15 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Werder Bremen
- Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 5)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 2)
Wolfsburg
- Last Match: vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Werder Bremen
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.56
# Clean Sheets:
1
Wolfsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.06
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Werder Bremen is predicted to edge out Wolfsburg in their upcoming Bundesliga clash, with a 38.0% probability of a home win. The odds of an away victory for Wolfsburg are close, at 37.0%, while a draw sits at 26.0%. Positioned 12th in the league, Werder Bremen will host 8th-placed Wolfsburg, in a match expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% probability.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Werder Bremen has struggled significantly, enduring a string of three consecutive defeats. Their recent encounters include heavy losses to Freiburg (5-0) and Bayern Munich (3-0), as well as a 3-1 home defeat to Hoffenheim. These results indicate a worrying trend of defensive frailties, as they have conceded 11 goals across these matches without much offensive output.
Conversely, Wolfsburg has shown a slightly more positive trajectory, securing a win against Stuttgart (2-1) and managing draws against Bochum (1-1) and a goalless draw with second-placed Leverkusen. Wolfsburg's recent performances suggest a more balanced approach, though their defense has been inconsistent, as evidenced by their average of 1.6 goals conceded per game over their last five matches.
Advanced metrics further highlight Werder Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per game. Although their expected goals scored are relatively decent at 1.84, the defensive lapses, reflected by their expected goals conceded at 1.56, have undermined their efforts. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, demonstrates a similar scoring potential with 1.6 goals per game but are slightly more vulnerable defensively, with expected goals conceded at 2.06.
Final Prediction
Werder Bremen's predicted win hinges on their ability to capitalize on home advantage and address their defensive shortcomings. A key factor to watch will be how Bremen manages to contain Wolfsburg's attacking threats, given their recent defensive struggles. This match could very well hinge on which side manages to tighten up at the back while exploiting scoring opportunities, making it an intriguing encounter for fans.