Bundesliga 2024-2025: Werder Bremen vs M'gladbach Prediction

Werder Bremen

Home Team
55%
VS

M'gladbach

Away Team
22%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 25 19 4 2 74 23 51 61
2 Leverkusen 25 15 8 2 55 30 25 53
3 Mainz 25 13 5 7 42 26 16 44
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 6 7 51 39 12 42
5 Freiburg 25 12 5 8 34 36 -2 41
6 RB Leipzig 25 10 9 6 39 33 6 39
7 Wolfsburg 25 10 8 7 49 39 10 38
8 Stuttgart 25 10 7 8 44 39 5 37
9 M'gladbach 25 11 4 10 39 38 1 37
10 Dortmund 25 10 5 10 45 39 6 35
11 Augsburg 25 9 8 8 28 35 -7 35
12 Werder Bremen 25 9 6 10 38 49 -11 33
13 Hoffenheim 25 6 8 11 32 47 -15 26
14 Union Berlin 25 7 5 13 22 38 -16 26
15 St Pauli 25 6 4 15 19 30 -11 22
16 Bochum 25 5 5 15 26 49 -23 20
17 Holstein Kiel 25 4 5 16 37 61 -24 17
18 Heidenheim 25 4 4 17 28 51 -23 16

Recent Trends

Werder Bremen ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)

M'gladbach ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 1

M'gladbach

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.06
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Werder Bremen and M'gladbach is predicted to tilt in favor of Werder Bremen with a 55.0% probability of a home victory. The likelihood of an away win stands at 22.0%, while a draw is considered at 23.0%. Both teams occupy mid-table positions in the Bundesliga, with M'gladbach in 9th place and Werder Bremen in 12th. The encounter is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 59.0% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In their last three matches, Werder Bremen has experienced a mixed bag of results. They secured an impressive away victory against Leverkusen with a 2-0 scoreline. However, their form at home was less convincing, losing 1-2 to Wolfsburg, followed by a heavy 0-5 defeat at Freiburg. A key statistic is Werder Bremen's ability to score, averaging 1.2 goals in their last five games, but their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals. M'gladbach's recent performances have been inconsistent as well. They managed a comfortable 3-0 win away at Heidenheim, yet suffered home defeats to Mainz (1-3) and Augsburg (0-3). Despite scoring an average of 1.8 goals in their last five games, M'gladbach's defense is equally concerning, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded. Their expected goals metrics suggest they underperform defensively, which might be a critical factor against Werder Bremen's attacking threats.

Final Prediction

Werder Bremen's superior probability of winning is likely influenced by their recent away triumph and overall better expected goals performance compared to M'gladbach. A key factor to watch will be how Werder Bremen's attack capitalizes on M'gladbach's defensive vulnerabilities. Fans should anticipate an exciting and potentially high-scoring encounter, given both teams' tendencies to find the back of the net while struggling to keep clean sheets.