Bundesliga 2024-2025: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Union Berlin

Home Team
40%
VS

Wolfsburg

Away Team
34%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 78 26 52 65
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 28 59
3 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 6 7 55 40 15 48
4 Mainz 27 13 6 8 45 31 14 45
5 M'gladbach 27 13 4 10 44 40 4 43
6 RB Leipzig 27 11 9 7 41 34 7 42
7 Freiburg 27 12 6 9 37 40 -3 42
8 Augsburg 27 10 9 8 30 36 -6 39
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 8 9 49 41 8 38
10 Dortmund 27 11 5 11 48 42 6 38
11 Stuttgart 27 10 7 10 47 44 3 37
12 Werder Bremen 27 10 6 11 43 53 -10 36
13 Union Berlin 27 8 6 13 25 40 -15 30
14 Hoffenheim 27 6 9 12 33 49 -16 27
15 St Pauli 27 7 4 16 22 33 -11 25
16 Heidenheim 27 6 4 17 32 52 -20 22
17 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
18 Holstein Kiel 27 4 5 18 38 67 -29 17

Recent Trends

Union Berlin ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 6)

Wolfsburg ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.28
# Clean Sheets: 0

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.77
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg is predicted to tilt slightly in favor of the home team, Union Berlin, with a 40.0% probability of winning. Wolfsburg's chances of clinching victory stand at 34.0%, with a draw being the least likely outcome at 26.0%. Union Berlin currently sits in 13th place in the Bundesliga standings, while Wolfsburg is a slightly higher at 9th. The likelihood of the match seeing over 2.5 goals is pegged at 51.0%, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Match Analysis

Union Berlin comes into this match on a positive note, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three outings. Notable performances include a resilient home draw against Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich and away victories over Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt, showcasing their ability to compete against formidable opponents. Despite their recent success, Union Berlin's recent average of 0.8 goals scored per match suggests they might need to bolster their offensive output to maintain momentum. Conversely, Wolfsburg's recent form has been less convincing, with two losses and a draw in their last three games. They struggled against lower-ranked teams like Heidenheim and Augsburg, both resulting in 1-0 losses. Wolfsburg's defensive frailties may be a concern, as they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game over their last five matches. Their ability to capitalize on expected goals, averaging 1.16 over the last five games, will be crucial if they are to turn around their current form.

Final Prediction

Union Berlin's recent uptick in form coupled with their home advantage gives them a slight edge in this contest. Their ability to secure points against higher-ranked teams instills confidence. A key factor to watch will be how Union Berlin's defense manages Wolfsburg's attacking attempts, given both teams' recent defensive vulnerabilities. Overall, fans can anticipate an intriguing matchup with the potential for several goals.