Bundesliga 2024-2025: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart Prediction

Union Berlin

Home Team
26%
VS

Stuttgart

Away Team
55%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 6 2 83 29 54 69
2 Leverkusen 29 18 9 2 63 34 29 63
3 Ein Frankfurt 29 15 6 8 58 42 16 51
4 RB Leipzig 29 13 9 7 47 37 10 48
5 Mainz 29 13 7 9 46 34 12 46
6 Freiburg 29 13 6 10 40 45 -5 45
7 M'gladbach 29 13 5 11 46 43 3 44
8 Dortmund 29 12 6 11 54 45 9 42
9 Werder Bremen 29 12 6 11 47 54 -7 42
10 Augsburg 29 11 9 9 33 40 -7 42
11 Stuttgart 29 11 7 11 52 46 6 40
12 Wolfsburg 29 10 8 11 51 45 6 38
13 Union Berlin 29 9 7 13 26 40 -14 34
14 Hoffenheim 29 7 9 13 36 52 -16 30
15 St Pauli 29 8 5 16 25 35 -10 29
16 Heidenheim 29 6 4 19 32 56 -24 22
17 Bochum 29 5 5 19 29 61 -32 20
18 Holstein Kiel 29 4 6 19 40 70 -30 18

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.36
# Clean Sheets: 2

Stuttgart

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart is predicted to favor the away team, Stuttgart, with a 55.0% probability of winning. Union Berlin, currently in 13th place, faces a challenging opponent in 11th-placed Stuttgart. The match is expected to be high-scoring with more than 2.5 goals likely, holding a probability of 51.0%.

Match Analysis

Union Berlin enters this fixture with a mixed bag of results over their past three games. They secured a 2-1 away victory against Freiburg and managed a narrow 1-0 home win over Wolfsburg. Their recent goalless draw against Leverkusen adds a certain resilience to their recent form. Despite these positive outcomes, Union Berlin has struggled to consistently find the back of the net, averaging only 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings. However, they have kept a commendable two clean sheets in these matches, indicating a solid defensive setup. Stuttgart, on the other hand, have had a somewhat inconsistent run. Their recent 4-0 away triumph over Bochum was overshadowed by losses to Werder Bremen and Ein Frankfurt. Stuttgart's attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five encounters. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. With an impressive expected goals figure of 1.74, Stuttgart's offensive threat could prove decisive.

Final Prediction

The edge in this matchup tilts towards Stuttgart, primarily due to their superior attacking statistics and higher league position. Union Berlin's defensive resilience might pose a challenge, but Stuttgart's ability to score frequently could be the defining factor. Fans should keep an eye on Stuttgart's attacking players, as their performance could be the key to securing an important away victory.