Bundesliga 2024-2025: Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Union Berlin

Home Team
4%
VS

Bayern Munich

Away Team
91%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 25 19 4 2 74 23 51 61
2 Leverkusen 25 15 8 2 55 30 25 53
3 Mainz 25 13 5 7 42 26 16 44
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 6 7 51 39 12 42
5 Freiburg 25 12 5 8 34 36 -2 41
6 RB Leipzig 25 10 9 6 39 33 6 39
7 Wolfsburg 25 10 8 7 49 39 10 38
8 Stuttgart 25 10 7 8 44 39 5 37
9 M'gladbach 25 11 4 10 39 38 1 37
10 Dortmund 25 10 5 10 45 39 6 35
11 Augsburg 25 9 8 8 28 35 -7 35
12 Werder Bremen 25 9 6 10 38 49 -11 33
13 Hoffenheim 25 6 8 11 32 47 -15 26
14 Union Berlin 25 7 5 13 22 38 -16 26
15 St Pauli 25 6 4 15 19 30 -11 22
16 Bochum 25 5 5 15 26 49 -23 20
17 Holstein Kiel 25 4 5 16 37 61 -24 17
18 Heidenheim 25 4 4 17 28 51 -23 16

Recent Trends

Union Berlin ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 6)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 4 - 0)

Bayern Munich ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 1

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.09
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich is predicted to be a one-sided affair, with Bayern Munich having a 91.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of the match exceeding 2.5 goals stands at 60.0%, suggesting an exciting display of attacking football. Currently, Bayern Munich leads the Bundesliga standings, while Union Berlin is languishing in 14th place, seeking crucial points to climb up the table.

Match Analysis

Union Berlin's recent form is a mixed bag, with a commendable away victory against Ein Frankfurt sandwiched between losses to Holstein Kiel and Dortmund. Their inconsistent performances have seen them score an average of just 0.6 goals in their last five matches while conceding 1.2 goals. Despite a respectable expected goals figure of 1.462, Union Berlin has struggled to capitalize on their opportunities in front of goal. Bayern Munich, on the other hand, comes into this match after a surprising home defeat to Bochum but with convincing victories against Stuttgart and Ein Frankfurt. The Bavarian giants have been scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game and maintaining a solid defense with only 0.8 goals conceded on average. Their expected goals and clean sheet records underline their offensive prowess and defensive solidity.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich's superior form, both in terms of recent performances and their standing at the top of the league, grants them a distinct advantage over Union Berlin. Key to watch will be Bayern's ability to maintain their scoring momentum, especially against a Union Berlin side that has shown vulnerability in defense. Football fans can anticipate Bayern Munich to assert their dominance and continue their pursuit of the Bundesliga title.