Bundesliga 2024-2025: Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Stuttgart

Home Team
77%
VS

Werder Bremen

Away Team
10%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 81 27 54 68
2 Leverkusen 28 18 8 2 63 34 29 62
3 Ein Frankfurt 28 14 6 8 55 42 13 48
4 Mainz 28 13 7 8 46 32 14 46
5 RB Leipzig 28 12 9 7 44 35 9 45
6 M'gladbach 28 13 5 10 45 41 4 44
7 Freiburg 28 12 6 10 38 44 -6 42
8 Dortmund 28 12 5 11 52 43 9 41
9 Stuttgart 28 11 7 10 51 44 7 40
10 Werder Bremen 28 11 6 11 45 53 -8 39
11 Augsburg 28 10 9 9 31 39 -8 39
12 Wolfsburg 28 10 8 10 49 42 7 38
13 Union Berlin 28 9 6 13 26 40 -14 33
14 Hoffenheim 28 6 9 13 34 52 -18 27
15 St Pauli 28 7 5 16 23 34 -11 26
16 Heidenheim 28 6 4 18 32 53 -21 22
17 Bochum 28 5 5 18 28 59 -31 20
18 Holstein Kiel 28 4 6 18 39 68 -29 18

Recent Trends

Stuttgart ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)

Werder Bremen ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Stuttgart

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 1

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.11
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen is heavily weighted in favor of the home team, Stuttgart, with a 77.0% probability of victory. Positioned 9th in the Bundesliga standings, Stuttgart is slightly ahead of Werder Bremen, who sits in 10th place. The game is also expected to see more than 2.5 goals being scored, given a 57.0% probability for this outcome.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Stuttgart has experienced a rollercoaster of results, winning against Bochum with a resounding 4-0 scoreline away from home, but suffering narrow defeats to Eintracht Frankfurt and Leverkusen. This fluctuating form is partially reflected in their recent advanced metrics, where they have been scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game but also conceding 2.2 goals, highlighting potential defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Werder Bremen managed a commendable 2-0 win against Eintracht Frankfurt and a 3-0 triumph over Holstein Kiel, both showcasing their capability to secure clean sheets. However, a 4-2 loss to M'gladbach at home indicates inconsistency in their defensive solidity. Over their last five games, Werder Bremen averaged 1.4 goals scored per match, yet they have been conceding at a rate of 2.0 goals, suggesting a potential defensive frailty to be exploited by Stuttgart.

Final Prediction

Stuttgart's higher probability of winning is driven by their marginally better league position and the attacking threat they have demonstrated in recent fixtures. A key factor to watch during the game will be Stuttgart's ability to capitalize on Werder Bremen's defensive lapses, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair given both teams' current form and scoring patterns.