Bundesliga 2024-2025: Stuttgart vs Leverkusen Prediction
Stuttgart
Home Team
15%
VS
Leverkusen
Away Team
72%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
67%
Under 2.5:
33%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Ein Frankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
| 9 | M'gladbach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Dortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | Union Berlin | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
| 16 | Bochum | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
Recent Trends
Stuttgart
- Last Match: vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 1)
Leverkusen
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Stuttgart
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.39
# Clean Sheets:
0
Leverkusen
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.92
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Leverkusen is expected to favor the visitors, with a 72.0% probability of Leverkusen securing a victory. Stuttgart's chances of winning are considerably lower at 15.0%, while the possibility of a draw stands at 13.0%. Sitting in 8th place, Stuttgart faces a tough challenge against 2nd-placed Leverkusen. Additionally, there's a strong likelihood of a high-scoring affair, with a 67.0% probability that the match will feature over 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Stuttgart's recent performances have been somewhat mixed, with two draws and a loss in their last three outings. They managed a 2-2 draw against Holstein Kiel and a 1-1 stalemate with Hoffenheim, both on the road, while suffering a 3-1 home defeat to the league leaders, Bayern Munich. Despite scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, Stuttgart has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals and failing to keep a clean sheet.
On the other hand, Leverkusen has displayed strong form, winning two of their last three encounters. They triumphed with a 4-1 victory over Ein Frankfurt and a 2-0 win against Holstein Kiel, both away from home, although they slipped in a 2-0 home loss to Werder Bremen. Leverkusen's attack has been potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches, while their defense has been relatively solid, conceding just 1.0 goals on average and achieving three clean sheets in the same period.
Final Prediction
Leverkusen's edge in this matchup comes from their superior form and offensive prowess, as evidenced by their recent performances and advanced metrics. With a strong defensive record and potent attack, they are well-positioned to capitalize on Stuttgart's defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Leverkusen's ability to maintain their scoring efficiency, which could prove decisive in securing a win and consolidating their position near the top of the Bundesliga table.