Bundesliga 2024-2025: St Pauli vs M'gladbach Prediction

St Pauli

Home Team
38%
VS

M'gladbach

Away Team
33%
Draw: 29%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 78 26 52 65
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 28 59
3 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 6 7 55 40 15 48
4 Mainz 27 13 6 8 45 31 14 45
5 M'gladbach 27 13 4 10 44 40 4 43
6 RB Leipzig 27 11 9 7 41 34 7 42
7 Freiburg 27 12 6 9 37 40 -3 42
8 Augsburg 27 10 9 8 30 36 -6 39
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 8 9 49 41 8 38
10 Dortmund 27 11 5 11 48 42 6 38
11 Stuttgart 27 10 7 10 47 44 3 37
12 Werder Bremen 27 10 6 11 43 53 -10 36
13 Union Berlin 27 8 6 13 25 40 -15 30
14 Hoffenheim 27 6 9 12 33 49 -16 27
15 St Pauli 27 7 4 16 22 33 -11 25
16 Heidenheim 27 6 4 17 32 52 -20 22
17 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
18 Holstein Kiel 27 4 5 18 38 67 -29 17

Recent Trends

St Pauli ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 2)

M'gladbach ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

St Pauli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.97
# Clean Sheets: 1

M'gladbach

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.91
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between St Pauli and M'gladbach is expected to swing in favor of the home team, St Pauli, with a 38.0% probability of winning. The match is predicted to have a result under 2.5 goals, reflecting a rather tight contest. In the Bundesliga standings, St Pauli is struggling near the bottom in 15th place, while M'gladbach holds a more comfortable position at 5th, vying for a European spot.

Match Analysis

St Pauli comes into this match with a mixed bag of results from their last three outings. They managed a commendable draw against Wolfsburg away from home and clinched a narrow victory over Hoffenheim on home turf. However, they suffered a close defeat to top leaders Bayern Munich. Notably, their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.8 goals on average in their last five games, and they have kept one clean sheet in this period. On the other hand, M'gladbach has shown a penchant for finding the back of the net, boasting an average of 2.4 goals scored in their last five matches. Their recent form includes impressive victories over RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, albeit with a setback against Mainz. Despite their attacking prowess, M'gladbach's defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals in the same timeframe. They have, however, managed to keep two clean sheets, showcasing their potential to tighten up defensively.

Final Prediction

St Pauli's edge lies in their defensive stability, which could prove crucial against M'gladbach's attacking threats. The key factor to watch during the game will be whether St Pauli can maintain their defensive resilience and capitalize on their home advantage to secure a vital victory in their fight against relegation.