Bundesliga 2024-2025: RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel Prediction

RB Leipzig

Home Team
91%
VS

Holstein Kiel

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 6 2 83 29 54 69
2 Leverkusen 29 18 9 2 63 34 29 63
3 Ein Frankfurt 29 15 6 8 58 42 16 51
4 RB Leipzig 29 13 9 7 47 37 10 48
5 Mainz 29 13 7 9 46 34 12 46
6 Freiburg 29 13 6 10 40 45 -5 45
7 M'gladbach 29 13 5 11 46 43 3 44
8 Dortmund 29 12 6 11 54 45 9 42
9 Werder Bremen 29 12 6 11 47 54 -7 42
10 Augsburg 29 11 9 9 33 40 -7 42
11 Stuttgart 29 11 7 11 52 46 6 40
12 Wolfsburg 29 10 8 11 51 45 6 38
13 Union Berlin 29 9 7 13 26 40 -14 34
14 Hoffenheim 29 7 9 13 36 52 -16 30
15 St Pauli 29 8 5 16 25 35 -10 29
16 Heidenheim 29 6 4 19 32 56 -24 22
17 Bochum 29 5 5 19 29 61 -32 20
18 Holstein Kiel 29 4 6 19 40 70 -30 18

Recent Trends

RB Leipzig ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)

Holstein Kiel ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

RB Leipzig

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.70
# Clean Sheets: 2

Holstein Kiel

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.43
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between RB Leipzig and Holstein Kiel is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a 91.0% probability of a Leipzig victory. This prediction is supported by the standings, as RB Leipzig sit comfortably in 4th place in the Bundesliga, while Holstein Kiel languishes at the bottom in 18th position. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 59.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

RB Leipzig's recent performances have been somewhat mixed, but they are showing signs of strength. They have managed two wins in their last three matches, including a solid 3-1 home victory over Hoffenheim and a thrilling 3-2 away win against Wolfsburg. Although they suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat to M'gladbach, their attacking prowess has been evident, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Defensively, Leipzig has maintained two clean sheets in their last five outings, showcasing a level of resilience. On the other hand, Holstein Kiel has struggled significantly, with no wins in their last three matches, including a heavy 0-3 home loss to Werder Bremen. Their defensive vulnerabilities are apparent, as they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game in their recent fixtures. Despite this, they managed to secure a 1-1 draw against Mainz, providing a glimmer of hope. However, with no clean sheets in their last five matches, Holstein Kiel's defense remains a concern.

Final Prediction

RB Leipzig is poised to capitalize on their superior form and league position to secure a victory against Holstein Kiel. The sharp contrast in recent performances and advanced metrics, particularly Leipzig's goal-scoring ability, gives the home side a clear edge. A key factor to watch during the game will be Leipzig's attacking efficiency, as exploiting Holstein Kiel's defensive frailties could lead to a decisive win.