Bundesliga 2024-2025: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim Prediction

RB Leipzig

Home Team
83%
VS

Hoffenheim

Away Team
8%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 65%
Under 2.5: 35%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 78 26 52 65
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 28 59
3 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 6 7 55 40 15 48
4 Mainz 27 13 6 8 45 31 14 45
5 M'gladbach 27 13 4 10 44 40 4 43
6 RB Leipzig 27 11 9 7 41 34 7 42
7 Freiburg 27 12 6 9 37 40 -3 42
8 Augsburg 27 10 9 8 30 36 -6 39
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 8 9 49 41 8 38
10 Dortmund 27 11 5 11 48 42 6 38
11 Stuttgart 27 10 7 10 47 44 3 37
12 Werder Bremen 27 10 6 11 43 53 -10 36
13 Union Berlin 27 8 6 13 25 40 -15 30
14 Hoffenheim 27 6 9 12 33 49 -16 27
15 St Pauli 27 7 4 16 22 33 -11 25
16 Heidenheim 27 6 4 17 32 52 -20 22
17 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
18 Holstein Kiel 27 4 5 18 38 67 -29 17

Recent Trends

RB Leipzig ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 2)

Hoffenheim ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

RB Leipzig

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.98
# Clean Sheets: 2

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.20
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

RB Leipzig is anticipated to secure a victory in their upcoming clash against Hoffenheim, with an impressive 83.0% probability favoring the home side. The match is also expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 65.0% likelihood of this outcome. Currently, RB Leipzig sits in 6th place in the Bundesliga standings, while Hoffenheim finds themselves struggling at 14th.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, RB Leipzig has shown a mixed bag of results. They claimed a solid 2-0 victory at home against Dortmund, but their away games have been less promising, with a 0-0 draw against Freiburg and a narrow 1-0 defeat to M'gladbach. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, has struggled to find form, managing only two draws and a loss in their last three outings. A 1-1 draw against Augsburg and Heidenheim, coupled with a 1-0 loss away to St Pauli, highlight their challenges, particularly in converting opportunities into goals. Advanced metrics suggest that RB Leipzig has the upper hand, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, with an expected goals figure of 1.72. Hoffenheim, although not far behind in terms of goals scored, averages fewer expected goals at 1.102. Defensively, both teams have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game over the same period, but Leipzig's two clean sheets in the last five matches could provide them with a psychological advantage.

Final Prediction

RB Leipzig's superior league position and recent home victory provide them with a significant edge over Hoffenheim. Their ability to keep clean sheets, coupled with Hoffenheim's recent struggles, suggests Leipzig is in a stronger position to capitalize on their chances. A key factor to watch will be RB Leipzig's attacking prowess, as they aim to exploit Hoffenheim's defensive frailties and secure a decisive win.