Bundesliga 2024-2025: RB Leipzig vs Heidenheim Prediction

RB Leipzig

Home Team
89%
VS

Heidenheim

Away Team
4%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 22 17 4 1 65 19 46 55
2 Leverkusen 22 13 8 1 49 27 22 47
3 Ein Frankfurt 22 12 6 4 49 29 20 42
4 RB Leipzig 22 10 7 5 36 29 7 37
5 Freiburg 22 11 3 8 29 36 -7 36
6 Mainz 22 10 5 7 35 24 11 35
7 Stuttgart 22 10 5 7 40 33 7 35
8 M'gladbach 22 10 4 8 35 32 3 34
9 Wolfsburg 22 9 6 7 45 36 9 33
10 Werder Bremen 22 8 6 8 35 42 -7 30
11 Dortmund 22 8 5 9 37 38 -1 29
12 Augsburg 22 7 7 8 24 35 -11 28
13 Union Berlin 22 6 6 10 21 29 -8 24
14 St Pauli 22 6 3 13 18 25 -7 21
15 Hoffenheim 22 5 6 11 29 45 -16 21
16 Heidenheim 22 4 2 16 25 45 -20 14
17 Bochum 22 3 5 14 21 46 -25 14
18 Holstein Kiel 22 3 4 15 34 57 -23 13

Recent Trends

RB Leipzig ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs St Pauli (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bochum (Goals: 3 - 3)

Heidenheim ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

RB Leipzig

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.63
# Clean Sheets: 3

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.92
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

With a commanding 89.00% probability, RB Leipzig is the predicted winner against Heidenheim in their upcoming Bundesliga clash. The odds heavily favor Leipzig, who currently sit in 4th place in the league standings, as they look to secure a critical win to maintain their Champions League qualification spot. The predicted result leans towards a low-scoring affair, with a 49.00% probability suggesting the game will stay under 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, Heidenheim is struggling near the bottom in 16th position, desperately needing points to stave off relegation.

Match Analysis

RB Leipzig's recent performances show a team that's been difficult to break down, boasting three clean sheets in their last five outings. They have managed a win against St Pauli but have also settled for goalless draws against Augsburg and Union Berlin. Their defensive solidity has been a cornerstone, with an average of only 2.0 goals conceded in the last five games. On the attacking front, Leipzig maintains a steady average of 2.2 goals scored per game, driven by an expected goals (xG) figure of 1.842, indicating they are clinical in taking their chances. Heidenheim, on the other hand, finds themselves in a troubling form, having lost their last three matches, including a narrow defeat to Dortmund. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet in their last five matches. Offensively, they have struggled to translate opportunities into goals, with an xG of just 0.996. This inefficiency upfront against a defensively sound Leipzig side could be detrimental to their ambitions of escaping the relegation zone.

Final Prediction

RB Leipzig's superior form and defensive discipline give them a significant edge in this matchup, making them the clear favorites. Their ability to shut out opponents while being effective in attack positions them favorably against a Heidenheim side that has struggled to find their footing both offensively and defensively. One key factor to watch will be Leipzig's ability to capitalize on their chances, as converting opportunities will be crucial in securing the expected victory and maintaining their top-four position in the league.