Bundesliga 2024-2025: Mainz vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Mainz

Home Team
50%
VS

Wolfsburg

Away Team
26%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 6 2 83 29 54 69
2 Leverkusen 29 18 9 2 63 34 29 63
3 Ein Frankfurt 29 15 6 8 58 42 16 51
4 RB Leipzig 29 13 9 7 47 37 10 48
5 Mainz 29 13 7 9 46 34 12 46
6 Freiburg 29 13 6 10 40 45 -5 45
7 M'gladbach 29 13 5 11 46 43 3 44
8 Dortmund 29 12 6 11 54 45 9 42
9 Werder Bremen 29 12 6 11 47 54 -7 42
10 Augsburg 29 11 9 9 33 40 -7 42
11 Stuttgart 29 11 7 11 52 46 6 40
12 Wolfsburg 29 10 8 11 51 45 6 38
13 Union Berlin 29 9 7 13 26 40 -14 34
14 Hoffenheim 29 7 9 13 36 52 -16 30
15 St Pauli 29 8 5 16 25 35 -10 29
16 Heidenheim 29 6 4 19 32 56 -24 22
17 Bochum 29 5 5 19 29 61 -32 20
18 Holstein Kiel 29 4 6 19 40 70 -30 18

Recent Trends

Mainz ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 1)

Wolfsburg ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mainz

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 0

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.43
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Wolfsburg sees Mainz with a 50% probability of securing a home victory. Meanwhile, Wolfsburg holds a 26% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 25%. The game is predicted to feature over 2.5 goals with a 54% probability. Positioned 5th in the league, Mainz is vying for a Champions League spot, while Wolfsburg, in 12th place, is looking to move up the standings.

Match Analysis

Mainz's recent form has been less than stellar, with a loss to Hoffenheim (0-2), a draw against Holstein Kiel (1-1), and a defeat to Dortmund (1-3). Despite these setbacks, Mainz has maintained a decent average of 1.4 goals scored over their last five matches, with expected goals (xG) of 1.714. However, they also concede an average of 0.6 goals, highlighting a need for defensive improvement. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, is on a three-game losing streak, having been defeated by RB Leipzig (2-3), Union Berlin (0-1), and Heidenheim (0-1). Their recent performances indicate a struggle to find the back of the net, with just 1.0 goals scored on average in their last five games. Their xG stands at 1.38, suggesting they could be more clinical in front of goal. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.0 goals per game, which could be a concern against Mainz's attacking threats.

Final Prediction

Mainz is predicted to have the edge in this encounter, primarily due to their superior league position and higher scoring potential. A key factor to watch will be Mainz's ability to convert scoring opportunities, capitalizing on Wolfsburg's defensive vulnerabilities. Fans should anticipate an engaging match with plenty of goal-scoring action.