Bundesliga 2024-2025: M'gladbach vs Augsburg Prediction

M'gladbach

Home Team
60%
VS

Augsburg

Away Team
19%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 22 17 4 1 65 19 46 55
2 Leverkusen 22 13 8 1 49 27 22 47
3 Ein Frankfurt 22 12 6 4 49 29 20 42
4 RB Leipzig 22 10 7 5 36 29 7 37
5 Freiburg 22 11 3 8 29 36 -7 36
6 Mainz 22 10 5 7 35 24 11 35
7 Stuttgart 22 10 5 7 40 33 7 35
8 M'gladbach 22 10 4 8 35 32 3 34
9 Wolfsburg 22 9 6 7 45 36 9 33
10 Werder Bremen 22 8 6 8 35 42 -7 30
11 Dortmund 22 8 5 9 37 38 -1 29
12 Augsburg 22 7 7 8 24 35 -11 28
13 Union Berlin 22 6 6 10 21 29 -8 24
14 St Pauli 22 6 3 13 18 25 -7 21
15 Hoffenheim 22 5 6 11 29 45 -16 21
16 Heidenheim 22 4 2 16 25 45 -20 14
17 Bochum 22 3 5 14 21 46 -25 14
18 Holstein Kiel 22 3 4 15 34 57 -23 13

Recent Trends

M'gladbach ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)

Augsburg ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

M'gladbach

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.94
# Clean Sheets: 1

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between M'gladbach and Augsburg is predicted to end in favor of the home team, M'gladbach, with a 60.00% probability of winning. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match stands at 54.00%. In the Bundesliga standings, M'gladbach sits in 8th position, while Augsburg follows closely in 12th.

Match Analysis

M'gladbach comes into this match with a solid run of form, having secured two wins and one draw in their last three encounters. Notably, they achieved victories against Union Berlin and Stuttgart on the road, displaying their ability to perform away from home. A draw against Eintracht Frankfurt at home showcased their resilience in maintaining competitive form against higher-ranking opponents. On the metrics front, M'gladbach has been efficient in attack, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game while maintaining a respectable defensive record with an average of 0.8 goals conceded. Augsburg, on the other hand, has demonstrated defensive solidity in recent matches, securing three consecutive draws with two clean sheets against tough opponents like RB Leipzig and Mainz. Their defense has been relatively tight, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per game. However, their offensive output remains a concern, with an average of just 1.2 goals scored per game and a lower expected goals average of 0.864, indicating potential struggles in breaking down M'gladbach's defense.

Final Prediction

M'gladbach's recent stronger offensive performances and their home advantage provide them with an edge over Augsburg. Their ability to score consistently, combined with Augsburg's struggles to find the back of the net, suggests that M'gladbach is well-positioned to secure a victory. A key factor to watch will be M'gladbach's attacking efficiency against an Augsburg side that prides itself on defensive organization.