Bundesliga 2024-2025: Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Leverkusen

Home Team
96%
VS

Werder Bremen

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 62%
Under 2.5: 38%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 4 1 72 20 52 61
2 Leverkusen 24 15 8 1 55 28 27 53
3 Ein Frankfurt 24 12 6 6 50 37 13 42
4 Mainz 24 12 5 7 39 25 14 41
5 Freiburg 24 12 4 8 34 36 -2 40
6 RB Leipzig 24 10 8 6 39 33 6 38
7 Wolfsburg 24 10 7 7 48 38 10 37
8 M'gladbach 24 11 4 9 38 35 3 37
9 Stuttgart 24 10 6 8 42 37 5 36
10 Dortmund 24 10 5 9 45 38 7 35
11 Augsburg 24 8 8 8 27 35 -8 32
12 Werder Bremen 24 8 6 10 36 49 -13 30
13 Hoffenheim 24 6 7 11 31 46 -15 25
14 Union Berlin 24 6 5 13 20 37 -17 23
15 St Pauli 24 6 3 15 18 29 -11 21
16 Bochum 24 4 5 15 23 47 -24 17
17 Holstein Kiel 24 4 4 16 35 59 -24 16
18 Heidenheim 24 4 3 17 27 50 -23 15

Recent Trends

Leverkusen ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)

Werder Bremen ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leverkusen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.89
# Clean Sheets: 3

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.36
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Leverkusen and Werder Bremen, Leverkusen is poised to emerge victorious with an overwhelming probability of 96.0%. The match is also expected to witness over 2.5 goals, with a 62.0% probability. Leverkusen currently sits in a strong 2nd position in the league standings, while Werder Bremen is positioned at 12th, reflecting the contrasting fortunes of the two teams this season.

Match Analysis

Leverkusen has been in remarkable form, particularly in their last three games, where they secured two wins and a draw. Their impressive 4-1 away victory against Ein Frankfurt and a solid 2-0 win over Holstein Kiel showcase their attacking prowess. Furthermore, they managed a commendable 0-0 draw against table-toppers Bayern Munich, indicating their defensive resilience. Key metrics underline Leverkusen's strength, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and a mere 0.6 conceded per game in their last five outings. Their ability to keep three clean sheets during this period further emphasizes their defensive solidity. In contrast, Werder Bremen has struggled to find form, suffering three consecutive defeats in their recent fixtures. A 1-3 home loss to Hoffenheim and a 0-5 drubbing by Freiburg highlight their defensive vulnerabilities. Werder Bremen's average of 1.2 goals scored and a worrying 2.8 goals conceded per game over the last five matches paint a clear picture of their current struggles. With just one clean sheet in the same period, their defensive issues are evident.

Final Prediction

Leverkusen's current form and statistical advantages make them the clear favorites to secure a win in this encounter. Their robust defense and potent attack give them a significant edge over a struggling Werder Bremen side. A key factor to watch will be how Leverkusen's attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game, exploits Werder Bremen's leaky defense, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.