Bundesliga 2024-2025: Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction

Leverkusen

Home Team
93%
VS

Union Berlin

Away Team
3%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 81 27 54 68
2 Leverkusen 28 18 8 2 63 34 29 62
3 Ein Frankfurt 28 14 6 8 55 42 13 48
4 Mainz 28 13 7 8 46 32 14 46
5 RB Leipzig 28 12 9 7 44 35 9 45
6 M'gladbach 28 13 5 10 45 41 4 44
7 Freiburg 28 12 6 10 38 44 -6 42
8 Dortmund 28 12 5 11 52 43 9 41
9 Stuttgart 28 11 7 10 51 44 7 40
10 Werder Bremen 28 11 6 11 45 53 -8 39
11 Augsburg 28 10 9 9 31 39 -8 39
12 Wolfsburg 28 10 8 10 49 42 7 38
13 Union Berlin 28 9 6 13 26 40 -14 33
14 Hoffenheim 28 6 9 13 34 52 -18 27
15 St Pauli 28 7 5 16 23 34 -11 26
16 Heidenheim 28 6 4 18 32 53 -21 22
17 Bochum 28 5 5 18 28 59 -31 20
18 Holstein Kiel 28 4 6 18 39 68 -29 18

Recent Trends

Leverkusen ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 1)

Union Berlin ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leverkusen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.97
# Clean Sheets: 1

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.15
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash in the Bundesliga between Leverkusen and Union Berlin is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a 93.0% probability of Leverkusen securing a victory. The match is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 58.0% likelihood. Standing strong at the 2nd position, Leverkusen's pursuit for the top spot is evident, while Union Berlin finds themselves in 13th place, looking to climb the standings.

Match Analysis

Leverkusen comes into this match with a string of impressive performances, having won their last three games. A solid 1-0 victory against Heidenheim followed by a convincing 3-1 home win over Bochum, and a thrilling 4-3 triumph at Stuttgart underscores their attacking prowess. Averaging 1.8 goals per game over their last five, Leverkusen has shown consistency in finding the back of the net, while maintaining a relatively tight defense, conceding just 1.0 goal on average. On the other hand, Union Berlin has also shown resilience, notably drawing 1-1 against league leaders Bayern Munich. They followed this up with wins over Wolfsburg and Freiburg, demonstrating their ability to compete against higher-ranked teams. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per game in their last five matches. Their xG metrics (expected goals) suggest they create fewer scoring opportunities compared to their opponents.

Final Prediction

Leverkusen's superior form, coupled with a more robust defensive setup, gives them a definitive edge over Union Berlin. The key factor to watch will be Leverkusen's attacking dynamics, as they consistently capitalize on scoring chances and maintain pressure on the opposition. This match is poised to be an exciting encounter, with Leverkusen aiming to bolster their title ambitions.