Bundesliga 2024-2025: Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Prediction

Holstein Kiel

Home Team
5%
VS

Stuttgart

Away Team
89%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 71%
Under 2.5: 29%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 4 1 72 20 52 61
2 Leverkusen 24 15 8 1 55 28 27 53
3 Ein Frankfurt 24 12 6 6 50 37 13 42
4 Mainz 24 12 5 7 39 25 14 41
5 Freiburg 24 12 4 8 34 36 -2 40
6 RB Leipzig 24 10 8 6 39 33 6 38
7 Wolfsburg 24 10 7 7 48 38 10 37
8 M'gladbach 24 11 4 9 38 35 3 37
9 Stuttgart 24 10 6 8 42 37 5 36
10 Dortmund 24 10 5 9 45 38 7 35
11 Augsburg 24 8 8 8 27 35 -8 32
12 Werder Bremen 24 8 6 10 36 49 -13 30
13 Hoffenheim 24 6 7 11 31 46 -15 25
14 Union Berlin 24 6 5 13 20 37 -17 23
15 St Pauli 24 6 3 15 18 29 -11 21
16 Bochum 24 4 5 15 23 47 -24 17
17 Holstein Kiel 24 4 4 16 35 59 -24 16
18 Heidenheim 24 4 3 17 27 50 -23 15

Recent Trends

Holstein Kiel ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 3 - 4)

Stuttgart ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Holstein Kiel

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 1

Stuttgart

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.03
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

With an overwhelming 89.0% probability, Stuttgart is predicted to emerge victorious against Holstein Kiel in their upcoming encounter. The game is also expected to surpass the 2.5 goals mark, with a 71.0% likelihood. Currently, Stuttgart sits in 9th position in the Bundesliga, showcasing a solid mid-table performance, while Holstein Kiel finds themselves in a precarious 17th place, battling against relegation.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Holstein Kiel has had a mixed bag of results. They managed to secure a narrow away victory against Union Berlin but failed to capitalize on that momentum, suffering defeats at the hands of Leverkusen and Ein Frankfurt. Their recent performances indicate a struggle, particularly on the defensive end, where they've been conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches. Despite scoring an average of 2.4 goals in their recent fixtures, their expected goals (xG) of 1.4 hint at a potential overperformance in finishing. On the other hand, Stuttgart has also encountered challenges, with a recent loss to Bayern Munich and a draw against Hoffenheim, followed by a defeat to Wolfsburg. Their offensive efforts have been steady, averaging 1.4 goals per game, but with a higher expected goals (xG) of 2.224, there's room for improvement in capitalizing on their chances. Defensively, Stuttgart has been more resilient, conceding just 1.0 goal per game on average, which could provide them with the stability needed against a struggling Holstein Kiel side.

Final Prediction

Stuttgart's stronger position in the league and consistent defensive performance give them a clear edge going into this match. Their ability to generate quality scoring opportunities, as indicated by their high expected goals, could be a decisive factor. Fans should keep an eye on Stuttgart's ability to convert chances into goals, which could be pivotal in overcoming Holstein Kiel's defensive vulnerabilities and securing a crucial win.