Bundesliga 2024-2025: Holstein Kiel vs Leverkusen Prediction

Holstein Kiel

Home Team
1%
VS

Leverkusen

Away Team
98%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 22 17 4 1 65 19 46 55
2 Leverkusen 22 13 8 1 49 27 22 47
3 Ein Frankfurt 22 12 6 4 49 29 20 42
4 RB Leipzig 22 10 7 5 36 29 7 37
5 Freiburg 22 11 3 8 29 36 -7 36
6 Mainz 22 10 5 7 35 24 11 35
7 Stuttgart 22 10 5 7 40 33 7 35
8 M'gladbach 22 10 4 8 35 32 3 34
9 Wolfsburg 22 9 6 7 45 36 9 33
10 Werder Bremen 22 8 6 8 35 42 -7 30
11 Dortmund 22 8 5 9 37 38 -1 29
12 Augsburg 22 7 7 8 24 35 -11 28
13 Union Berlin 22 6 6 10 21 29 -8 24
14 St Pauli 22 6 3 13 18 25 -7 21
15 Hoffenheim 22 5 6 11 29 45 -16 21
16 Heidenheim 22 4 2 16 25 45 -20 14
17 Bochum 22 3 5 14 21 46 -25 14
18 Holstein Kiel 22 3 4 15 34 57 -23 13

Recent Trends

Holstein Kiel ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)

Leverkusen ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Holstein Kiel

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 0

Leverkusen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.93
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Holstein Kiel and Leverkusen heavily favors the away team, Leverkusen, with an overwhelming 98% probability of victory. This prediction aligns with their strong league standing as they sit comfortably in second place in the Bundesliga, while Holstein Kiel struggles at the bottom, in 18th place. Additionally, the probability of the game having over 2.5 goals is 64%, indicating a high-scoring encounter.

Match Analysis

Holstein Kiel has faced a challenging spell in their recent fixtures. Despite showing some attacking prowess by scoring 3 goals against Bayern Munich, their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed, conceding 3 goals to Ein Frankfurt and 2 to Bochum. Their average of 2.4 goals scored per game in the last five matches is somewhat misleading given their inability to secure a win. Defensively, they are leaking goals, with an average of 2.0 conceded per match, and have failed to keep a single clean sheet in the same span. Leverkusen, on the other hand, has displayed resilience and consistency, despite two goalless draws against Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg. Their victory against Hoffenheim, scoring 3 goals, demonstrates their capability to find the net. With an average of 1.8 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded per match over their last five outings, they exhibit a balanced approach. Their ability to keep clean sheets in two of those matches underscores a robust defensive setup.

Final Prediction

Leverkusen's edge lies in their solid defensive record and the ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as reflected in their recent performances. They are well-positioned to exploit Holstein Kiel's defensive frailties. Fans should keep an eye on Leverkusen's attacking transitions, as they have the potential to turn defense into quick offensive plays, a key factor that could define the outcome of the game.