Bundesliga 2024-2025: Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction
Hoffenheim
Home Team
31%
VS
Stuttgart
Away Team
48%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
64%
Under 2.5:
36%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65 | 19 | 46 | 55 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 47 |
| 3 | Ein Frankfurt | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 42 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 36 |
| 6 | Mainz | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
| 7 | Stuttgart | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 35 |
| 8 | M'gladbach | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 34 |
| 9 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 33 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 30 |
| 11 | Dortmund | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 28 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 14 |
| 17 | Bochum | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 14 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Hoffenheim
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 3 - 1)
Stuttgart
- Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 4 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Hoffenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.94
# Clean Sheets:
0
Stuttgart
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.32
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart is predicted to tilt in favor of Stuttgart, with a 48.00% probability of them securing a victory. Hoffenheim has a 31.00% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 21.00%. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 64.00% probability of exceeding 2.5 goals. Currently, Stuttgart occupies the 7th position in the league, while Hoffenheim is struggling at 15th place.
Match Analysis
Hoffenheim's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a crucial away win against Werder Bremen (3-1) being overshadowed by back-to-back losses to Union Berlin (0-4) and Leverkusen (1-3). Their attacking prowess seems to be faltering, managing an average of just 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches, while conceding an average of 2.0 goals. Their expected goals metrics reflect potential, with an average of 1.918 expected goals scored, but defensive frailties remain a concern with 1.936 expected goals conceded per match.
Stuttgart, on the other hand, has shown resilience, notably with a victory over Dortmund (2-1) away from home. However, they fell short against Wolfsburg and M'gladbach, both with narrow 1-2 losses. Stuttgart appears more balanced, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.2 goals per game. Their expected goals scored are slightly lower at 1.824, indicating that their actual goal tally might be slightly inflated, but their defense seems more robust with only 1.320 expected goals conceded, alongside achieving one clean sheet in their last five games.
Final Prediction
Stuttgart's edge in this encounter likely comes from their slightly better form and more effective defensive setup. Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerabilities could be a critical factor, especially given Stuttgart's ability to find the net consistently. Fans should keep an eye on Stuttgart's counter-attacking play, which could exploit Hoffenheim's defensive lapses and prove decisive in the outcome of the match.