Bundesliga 2024-2025: Hoffenheim vs Augsburg Prediction

Hoffenheim

Home Team
54%
VS

Augsburg

Away Team
23%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 5 2 75 24 51 62
2 Leverkusen 26 16 8 2 59 33 26 56
3 Mainz 26 13 6 7 44 28 16 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 26 13 6 7 54 40 14 45
5 RB Leipzig 26 11 9 6 41 33 8 42
6 Freiburg 26 12 6 8 36 38 -2 42
7 M'gladbach 26 12 4 10 43 40 3 40
8 Wolfsburg 26 10 8 8 49 40 9 38
9 Augsburg 26 10 8 8 29 35 -6 38
10 Stuttgart 26 10 7 9 47 43 4 37
11 Dortmund 26 10 5 11 45 41 4 35
12 Werder Bremen 26 9 6 11 40 53 -13 33
13 Union Berlin 26 7 6 13 23 39 -16 27
14 Hoffenheim 26 6 8 12 32 48 -16 26
15 St Pauli 26 7 4 15 20 30 -10 25
16 Bochum 26 5 5 16 27 52 -25 20
17 Heidenheim 26 5 4 17 31 52 -21 19
18 Holstein Kiel 26 4 5 17 38 64 -26 17

Recent Trends

Hoffenheim ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 3 - 1)

Augsburg ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.73
# Clean Sheets: 1

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 5

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Hoffenheim and Augsburg sees the hosts with a favorable probability of winning at 54.0%, while Augsburg holds a 23.0% chance, with the same probability for a draw. Hoffenheim, currently placed 14th in the Bundesliga standings, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage. The expectation is for the match to be a high-scoring affair, with a 59.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, suggesting an attacking game could be on the cards.

Match Analysis

Hoffenheim's recent performances have been a mixed bag. With a win against Bochum, a draw with Heidenheim, and a loss to St Pauli, they have struggled to find consistent form. The team has managed just one clean sheet in their last five matches and has an average goal-scoring rate of 0.8 per game. Defensively, they have been shaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game and allowing high-quality chances with an expected goals conceded figure of 2.728. Augsburg, on the other hand, come into this fixture in a rich vein of form. They are unbeaten in their last three games, with victories over Wolfsburg and Dortmund, and a goalless draw against Freiburg. Impressively, Augsburg has kept clean sheets in all their last five matches, conceding just 0.2 goals on average. Their defensive solidity is complemented by a decent scoring rate, averaging 1.4 goals per game, albeit with a lower expected goals figure of 0.752, indicating a reliance on converting chances efficiently.

Final Prediction

Hoffenheim will need to tighten up defensively if they are to exploit their slight edge in win probability. However, Augsburg's recent form and defensive resilience could pose significant challenges. A key factor to watch will be Augsburg's ability to maintain their defensive organization against a Hoffenheim side eager to leverage their home advantage and climb up the Bundesliga standings.