Bundesliga 2024-2025: Heidenheim vs M'gladbach Prediction

Heidenheim

Home Team
31%
VS

M'gladbach

Away Team
45%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 23 18 4 1 69 19 50 58
2 Leverkusen 23 14 8 1 51 27 24 50
3 Ein Frankfurt 23 12 6 5 49 33 16 42
4 Freiburg 23 12 3 8 34 36 -2 39
5 Mainz 23 11 5 7 37 24 13 38
6 RB Leipzig 23 10 8 5 38 31 7 38
7 Stuttgart 23 10 6 7 41 34 7 36
8 Wolfsburg 23 9 7 7 46 37 9 34
9 M'gladbach 23 10 4 9 35 35 0 34
10 Dortmund 23 9 5 9 43 38 5 32
11 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 27 35 -8 31
12 Werder Bremen 23 8 6 9 35 47 -12 30
13 Union Berlin 23 6 6 11 21 35 -14 24
14 Hoffenheim 23 5 7 11 30 46 -16 22
15 St Pauli 23 6 3 14 18 27 -9 21
16 Heidenheim 23 4 3 16 27 47 -20 15
17 Bochum 23 3 6 14 22 47 -25 15
18 Holstein Kiel 23 3 4 16 34 59 -25 13

Recent Trends

Heidenheim ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)

M'gladbach ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.27
# Clean Sheets: 0

M'gladbach

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.43
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Heidenheim and M'gladbach is expected to swing in favor of the visitors, with M'gladbach holding a 45.0% chance of winning. The game is also anticipated to have more than 2.5 goals with a 53.0% probability. In the current Bundesliga standings, M'gladbach occupies the 9th position, while Heidenheim is fighting relegation in the 16th spot.

Match Analysis

Heidenheim enters this match with a challenging form, having not secured a win in their last three outings. They managed to snatch a draw against RB Leipzig but suffered defeats to Mainz and Freiburg, failing to score in the latter two encounters. This lack of offensive output is mirrored in their advanced metrics, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored per game and no clean sheets in the last five matches. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which might continue to be a vulnerability against M'gladbach's attacking prowess. M'gladbach, on the other hand, has shown more resilience in their recent performances. They secured a win against Union Berlin and a draw with Ein Frankfurt, despite a setback at home against Augsburg. The team's offensive numbers are more promising, averaging 1.6 goals per game in their last five outings. However, similar to Heidenheim, their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.2 goals. M'gladbach's ability to convert opportunities into goals could be crucial, especially given Heidenheim's defensive frailties.

Final Prediction

M'gladbach's position in the league and their recent form give them a notable edge over Heidenheim. Their ability to find the back of the net more consistently could be pivotal, especially with Heidenheim's defensive struggles. A key factor to watch in this match will be whether Heidenheim can shore up their defense to withstand M'gladbach's attacking threats, as this could determine whether they can pull off an upset or succumb to another defeat.