Bundesliga 2024-2025: Heidenheim vs Leverkusen Prediction

Heidenheim

Home Team
4%
VS

Leverkusen

Away Team
91%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 78 26 52 65
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 28 59
3 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 6 7 55 40 15 48
4 Mainz 27 13 6 8 45 31 14 45
5 M'gladbach 27 13 4 10 44 40 4 43
6 RB Leipzig 27 11 9 7 41 34 7 42
7 Freiburg 27 12 6 9 37 40 -3 42
8 Augsburg 27 10 9 8 30 36 -6 39
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 8 9 49 41 8 38
10 Dortmund 27 11 5 11 48 42 6 38
11 Stuttgart 27 10 7 10 47 44 3 37
12 Werder Bremen 27 10 6 11 43 53 -10 36
13 Union Berlin 27 8 6 13 25 40 -15 30
14 Hoffenheim 27 6 9 12 33 49 -16 27
15 St Pauli 27 7 4 16 22 33 -11 25
16 Heidenheim 27 6 4 17 32 52 -20 22
17 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
18 Holstein Kiel 27 4 5 18 38 67 -29 17

Recent Trends

Heidenheim ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 2)

Leverkusen ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bochum (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.95
# Clean Sheets: 1

Leverkusen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Leverkusen, the predicted result heavily favors the away team, Leverkusen, with a 91.0% probability of victory. Heidenheim, currently in 16th place, faces a daunting task against the 2nd placed Leverkusen. The match is also expected to deliver over 2.5 goals, with a 61.0% likelihood, hinting at an action-packed encounter.

Match Analysis

Heidenheim's recent form shows signs of resilience, despite their low league position. They secured two wins and a draw in their last three outings, including a notable away victory against Wolfsburg and a solid home win over Holstein Kiel. However, their defensive fragility remains a concern, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last five matches, with only one clean sheet to their name. Leverkusen, on the other hand, have been in impressive form, although they suffered a surprise defeat against Werder Bremen. Their attack has been prolific, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last five matches, supported by a strong expected goals figure of 2.248. Defensively, they've been relatively solid, conceding just 1.2 goals on average per game in the same period, which could be crucial against Heidenheim's unpredictable attack.

Final Prediction

Leverkusen's edge in this matchup lies in their superior attacking prowess and overall consistency, as evidenced by their current league standing and recent performances. A key factor to watch during the game will be Leverkusen's ability to exploit Heidenheim's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. With both teams having shown the capability to score, fans can expect an entertaining spectacle.