Bundesliga 2024-2025: Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel Prediction

Heidenheim

Home Team
74%
VS

Holstein Kiel

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 25 19 4 2 74 23 51 61
2 Leverkusen 25 15 8 2 55 30 25 53
3 Mainz 25 13 5 7 42 26 16 44
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 6 7 51 39 12 42
5 Freiburg 25 12 5 8 34 36 -2 41
6 RB Leipzig 25 10 9 6 39 33 6 39
7 Wolfsburg 25 10 8 7 49 39 10 38
8 Stuttgart 25 10 7 8 44 39 5 37
9 M'gladbach 25 11 4 10 39 38 1 37
10 Dortmund 25 10 5 10 45 39 6 35
11 Augsburg 25 9 8 8 28 35 -7 35
12 Werder Bremen 25 9 6 10 38 49 -11 33
13 Hoffenheim 25 6 8 11 32 47 -15 26
14 Union Berlin 25 7 5 13 22 38 -16 26
15 St Pauli 25 6 4 15 19 30 -11 22
16 Bochum 25 5 5 15 26 49 -23 20
17 Holstein Kiel 25 4 5 16 37 61 -24 17
18 Heidenheim 25 4 4 17 28 51 -23 16

Recent Trends

Heidenheim ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)

Holstein Kiel ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.92
# Clean Sheets: 0

Holstein Kiel

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.42
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel is set to be a significant encounter, particularly for the home side. With a 74.0% probability of winning, Heidenheim is predicted to emerge victorious in this contest. The likelihood of a match result featuring over 2.5 goals stands at an even 50.0%, suggesting an open game with plenty of goal-scoring chances. In terms of league standing, Heidenheim currently occupies the bottom position in the Bundesliga, while Holstein Kiel is just one place above them, making this a crucial fixture for both teams in their battle to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Heidenheim comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. Their last three games saw them earn two draws, including a commendable 2-2 away draw against RB Leipzig, and a home loss to M'gladbach. This suggests a team that is capable of resilience, particularly on the road. However, they have struggled offensively, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored in their last five games, which is concerning for their survival hopes. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Conversely, Holstein Kiel has shown more attacking promise, scoring an average of 1.8 goals in their past five matches. They managed a solid victory against Union Berlin and held Stuttgart to a draw, showcasing their ability to compete against mid-table teams. However, their defense has let them down, with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per game. Despite these defensive frailties, their ability to find the back of the net could prove pivotal in a game against a struggling Heidenheim defense.

Final Prediction

Heidenheim's edge in this fixture is largely attributed to their home advantage and the pressing need to secure points to avoid relegation. Their resilient performances against higher-ranked teams like RB Leipzig can inspire confidence. A key factor to watch will be whether Heidenheim can capitalize on Holstein Kiel's defensive vulnerabilities while shoring up their own defense to secure a vital win.