Bundesliga 2024-2025: Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Heidenheim

Home Team
1%
VS

Bayern Munich

Away Team
98%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 69%
Under 2.5: 31%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 6 2 83 29 54 69
2 Leverkusen 29 18 9 2 63 34 29 63
3 Ein Frankfurt 29 15 6 8 58 42 16 51
4 RB Leipzig 29 13 9 7 47 37 10 48
5 Mainz 29 13 7 9 46 34 12 46
6 Freiburg 29 13 6 10 40 45 -5 45
7 M'gladbach 29 13 5 11 46 43 3 44
8 Dortmund 29 12 6 11 54 45 9 42
9 Werder Bremen 29 12 6 11 47 54 -7 42
10 Augsburg 29 11 9 9 33 40 -7 42
11 Stuttgart 29 11 7 11 52 46 6 40
12 Wolfsburg 29 10 8 11 51 45 6 38
13 Union Berlin 29 9 7 13 26 40 -14 34
14 Hoffenheim 29 7 9 13 36 52 -16 30
15 St Pauli 29 8 5 16 25 35 -10 29
16 Heidenheim 29 6 4 19 32 56 -24 22
17 Bochum 29 5 5 19 29 61 -32 20
18 Holstein Kiel 29 4 6 19 40 70 -30 18

Recent Trends

Heidenheim ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)

Bayern Munich ⚪ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs St Pauli (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 1

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.97
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga match between Heidenheim and Bayern Munich is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors, with a 98.0% probability of a Bayern Munich victory. In stark contrast, Heidenheim only holds a 1.0% chance of winning, with the same slim odds for a draw. Currently, Bayern Munich leads the Bundesliga table, while Heidenheim is struggling at 16th, fighting to avoid relegation. The game is also predicted to have more than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 69.0%.

Match Analysis

Heidenheim's recent form has been inconsistent, with a notable victory against Wolfsburg but losses to Eintracht Frankfurt and Leverkusen. Despite securing a clean sheet against Wolfsburg, their average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded in their last five games highlights their struggles on both ends of the pitch. Their expected goals metrics suggest they create reasonable chances but often fail to capitalize, scoring below their expected goals of 1.184 per match. On the other hand, Bayern Munich has shown dominance, registering a win against Augsburg and St Pauli and holding Dortmund to a draw. With an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in their last five appearances, they demonstrate both offensive firepower and defensive solidity. Bayern's expected goals data aligns closely with their actual performance, indicating a well-balanced team that efficiently converts opportunities into goals.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich's commanding league position and consistent performance make them the clear favorites to win this encounter. Their ability to maintain a high goal-scoring rate and a tight defense gives them a significant edge over Heidenheim. A key factor to watch will be Bayern's attacking prowess, as they aim to exploit Heidenheim's defensive vulnerabilities and continue their march at the top of the Bundesliga.