Bundesliga 2024-2025: Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

Freiburg

Home Team
75%
VS

Union Berlin

Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 5 2 75 24 51 62
2 Leverkusen 26 16 8 2 59 33 26 56
3 Mainz 26 13 6 7 44 28 16 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 26 13 6 7 54 40 14 45
5 RB Leipzig 26 11 9 6 41 33 8 42
6 Freiburg 26 12 6 8 36 38 -2 42
7 M'gladbach 26 12 4 10 43 40 3 40
8 Wolfsburg 26 10 8 8 49 40 9 38
9 Augsburg 26 10 8 8 29 35 -6 38
10 Stuttgart 26 10 7 9 47 43 4 37
11 Dortmund 26 10 5 11 45 41 4 35
12 Werder Bremen 26 9 6 11 40 53 -13 33
13 Union Berlin 26 7 6 13 23 39 -16 27
14 Hoffenheim 26 6 8 12 32 48 -16 26
15 St Pauli 26 7 4 15 20 30 -10 25
16 Bochum 26 5 5 16 27 52 -25 20
17 Heidenheim 26 5 4 17 31 52 -21 19
18 Holstein Kiel 26 4 5 17 38 64 -26 17

Recent Trends

Freiburg ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)

Union Berlin ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 6)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Freiburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.23
# Clean Sheets: 4

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.30
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Freiburg is poised to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Union Berlin, with a 75% probability of securing the win. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 49% chance for such an outcome. Freiburg, currently sitting in 6th place in the Bundesliga standings, is facing Union Berlin, who are struggling at 13th position in the league.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Freiburg has been consistent, albeit with a series of draws. They managed a 2-2 away draw against Mainz, followed by goalless encounters with RB Leipzig and Augsburg. Despite the lack of victories, Freiburg's defense has been commendable, securing four clean sheets in their last five outings. Their average goals scored (2.0) and conceded (0.8) per match indicate a stable form, although their expected goals statistics suggest they could be more clinical in front of the net. Union Berlin, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results. They held Bayern Munich to a 1-1 draw at home, secured a narrow 2-1 away win against Ein Frankfurt, but suffered a disappointing 0-1 home loss to Holstein Kiel. Their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game, which is a worrying trend. Despite their relatively decent expected goals scored (1.398), their inability to keep clean sheets could cost them against a solid Freiburg side.

Final Prediction

Freiburg's solid defensive record and Union Berlin's vulnerability at the back give the home team a distinct advantage. With Freiburg's ability to maintain clean sheets and Union's defensive struggles, Freiburg is well-positioned to capitalize on any opportunities that come their way. A key factor to watch will be whether Freiburg can convert their chances more effectively, given the expected defensive lapses from Union Berlin.