Bundesliga 2024-2025: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Freiburg
Home Team
54%
VS
RB Leipzig
Away Team
24%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 72 | 20 | 52 | 61 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 53 |
| 3 | Ein Frankfurt | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 42 |
| 4 | Mainz | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 40 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 37 |
| 8 | M'gladbach | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | Dortmund | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 35 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 32 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 25 |
| 14 | Union Berlin | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 21 |
| 16 | Bochum | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 17 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 16 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Freiburg
- Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 5 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 0)
RB Leipzig
- Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Freiburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.60
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.20
# Clean Sheets:
5
RB Leipzig
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.47
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig is predicted to favor the home side, with a 54.0% probability of Freiburg securing a win. Meanwhile, RB Leipzig's chances of an away victory are considerably lower at 24.0%, while a draw has a 22.0% likelihood. The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair with a 42.0% probability of under 2.5 goals. Freiburg currently sits 5th in the league, just two points ahead of 6th-placed RB Leipzig, making this a crucial fixture for both teams.
Match Analysis
Freiburg enters this match in solid form, having remained unbeaten in their last three games. Notably, they secured a comprehensive 5-0 victory at home against Werder Bremen and managed to keep clean sheets in all three recent encounters. This defensive robustness is underscored by their ability to keep five clean sheets in their last five matches. On the offensive front, Freiburg averages 2.6 goals per game over the last five outings, indicating a potent attacking threat.
In contrast, RB Leipzig has struggled to find consistency, with two draws and a loss in their last three matches. Their latest results include a 2-1 home defeat to Mainz and a goalless stalemate against Augsburg away. Leipzig has averaged just 1.0 goal per game across their last five matches, highlighting their recent offensive struggles. Moreover, their defense has been porous, allowing an average of 2.0 goals per game in the same period.
Final Prediction
Freiburg's recent form and defensive solidity give them a distinct edge in this encounter. Their ability to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities makes them favorites to secure a win. A key factor to watch will be Freiburg's ability to shut down RB Leipzig's attack, as Leipzig has found it challenging to break through solid defenses recently. This match could prove pivotal in the race for a top-four finish.