Bundesliga 2024-2025: Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction

Freiburg

Home Team
68%
VS

Hoffenheim

Away Team
15%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 6 2 83 29 54 69
2 Leverkusen 29 18 9 2 63 34 29 63
3 Ein Frankfurt 29 15 6 8 58 42 16 51
4 RB Leipzig 29 13 9 7 47 37 10 48
5 Mainz 29 13 7 9 46 34 12 46
6 Freiburg 29 13 6 10 40 45 -5 45
7 M'gladbach 29 13 5 11 46 43 3 44
8 Dortmund 29 12 6 11 54 45 9 42
9 Werder Bremen 29 12 6 11 47 54 -7 42
10 Augsburg 29 11 9 9 33 40 -7 42
11 Stuttgart 29 11 7 11 52 46 6 40
12 Wolfsburg 29 10 8 11 51 45 6 38
13 Union Berlin 29 9 7 13 26 40 -14 34
14 Hoffenheim 29 7 9 13 36 52 -16 30
15 St Pauli 29 8 5 16 25 35 -10 29
16 Heidenheim 29 6 4 19 32 56 -24 22
17 Bochum 29 5 5 19 29 61 -32 20
18 Holstein Kiel 29 4 6 19 40 70 -30 18

Recent Trends

Freiburg ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)

Hoffenheim ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Freiburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.73
# Clean Sheets: 1

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Freiburg and Hoffenheim is predicted to favor the home side, with a 68.0% probability of a Freiburg victory. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, holds a slim 15.0% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw stands at 17.0%. As both teams vie for positions in the Bundesliga standings, Freiburg currently sits in 6th place, while Hoffenheim is further down in 14th place. The match is also expected to be an attacking affair, with a 52.0% chance of featuring over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Freiburg's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent. They emerged victorious in their last outing against M'gladbach with a 2-1 win away from home. However, prior to that, they suffered back-to-back home defeats against Dortmund and Union Berlin. The team has averaged 1.6 goals per game in their last five encounters, but they've also been conceding an average of 1.2 goals, which highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Hoffenheim, meanwhile, managed a crucial home victory against Mainz, winning 2-0, but have otherwise struggled for consistency. Their recent matches include a 3-1 loss to RB Leipzig on the road and a 1-1 home draw against Augsburg. Hoffenheim's goal-scoring and conceding averages over the last five games both stand at 1.2 and 1.6 respectively, indicating a balanced but leaky defense.

Final Prediction

Freiburg's edge in this matchup comes from their superior league position and their capability to score goals. Their recent away win against M'gladbach could serve as a confidence booster heading into this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Freiburg's ability to capitalize on Hoffenheim's defensive frailties, which could prove decisive in securing all three points.